Page semi-protected

2024 United States presidential election

Source: Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

2024 United States presidential election

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
 
Party Democratic Republican

2024 United States presidential election in California2024 United States presidential election in Oregon2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)2024 United States presidential election in Idaho2024 United States presidential election in Nevada2024 United States presidential election in Utah2024 United States presidential election in Arizona2024 United States presidential election in Montana2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming2024 United States presidential election in Colorado2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska2024 United States presidential election in Kansas2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma2024 United States presidential election in Texas2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota2024 United States presidential election in Iowa2024 United States presidential election in Missouri2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin2024 United States presidential election in Illinois2024 United States presidential election in Michigan2024 United States presidential election in Indiana2024 United States presidential election in Ohio2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi2024 United States presidential election in Alabama2024 United States presidential election in Georgia2024 United States presidential election in Florida2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina2024 United States presidential election in Virginia2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2024 United States presidential election in Maryland2024 United States presidential election in Delaware2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey2024 United States presidential election in New York2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2024 United States presidential election in Vermont2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire2024 United States presidential election in Maine2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii2024 United States presidential election in Alaska2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2024 United States presidential election in Maryland2024 United States presidential election in Delaware2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2024 United States presidential election in Vermont2024 United States presidential election in New HampshireElectoralCollege2024.svg
About this image
The electoral map for the 2024 election, based on populations from the 2020 census

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024.[1] It will be the first presidential election after electoral votes are redistributed according to the post-2020 census reapportionment. Incumbent president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term, with Vice President Kamala Harris as his running mate.[2] Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump has suggested that he also has the intent to run for president for a nonconsecutive second term despite his loss in 2020.[3]

In the United States, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.

Background

Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, which is awarded through a process such as a primary election. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The presidential nominee typically chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket, which is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention.

Similarly, the general election in November is also an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.[4] If no candidate receives the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, a contingent election will be held in which the House of Representatives will select the president from the three candidates who received the most electoral votes, and the Senate will select the vice president from the candidates who received the two highest totals. The presidential election will occur simultaneously with House of Representatives elections, Senate elections, and various state and local-level elections.

Effects of the 2020 census

The election has been the early subject of attention by analysts and commentators, as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College, which will follow the 2020 United States census.[5][6] This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States census.[7]

The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022, where congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have bipartisan or nonpartisan redistricting commissions). The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a coattail effect, which helps other candidates of that party win elections.[8] In 2020, although its nominee Joe Biden won the presidential election, the Democratic Party did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both New Hampshire legislative chambers and the Montana governorship. This allowed the Republican Party to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire,[9][10] which had the potential to lead to gerrymandering that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the REDMAP project after the 2010 census.[10][11][12]

Candidate eligibility

Former presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama are barred from running for a third term per the Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution. Former presidents Jimmy Carter and Donald Trump are eligible to seek a second term.[a] Likewise, incumbent president Joe Biden may seek re-election.

Potential campaign issues

COVID-19 pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic, which, as of June 2022, has killed over one million people in the United States (more than one in 330 Americans),[13] has had significant economic and societal effects which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility of governors in fighting the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage senators have had in recent cycles.[14]

Abortion

The Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision in June 2022, which overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision and permitted U.S. states to fully ban abortion for the first time since then, brought abortion into the national spotlight. In the 2024 election, the topic of abortion is expected to play a role in the Republican primary. Potential candidates are divided on the matter, with former Vice President Mike Pence supporting a nationwide ban on abortion, whereas other potential candidates have struck a more moderate tone and suggested that the matter should remain the decision of the states.[15]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Democrat Joe Biden, elected in 2020, is the incumbent president and has stated he intends to run for re-election in 2024 with Kamala Harris as his running mate.[2] He is the oldest person to assume the office at age 78,[16] and he would be 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of his second term if re-elected. During late 2021, as President Biden was suffering from low approval ratings in the polls, there was speculation that he would not seek re-election.[17] If this occurred, Vice President Harris and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg would be considered likely candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, having both run for president in 2020.[18][19] Biden and his allies have stated to reporters that he intends to run for re-election.[20] There is speculation that Biden will face a primary challenge from a member of the Democratic Party's progressive faction.[21][22]

Declared intent to run

As of June 2022, individuals in this section have declared their intent to run for president.

Potential candidates

As of June 2022, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates are viewed as potential replacements if President Biden chooses not to seek re-election, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges if he does.

Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Republican Party

Donald Trump was defeated by Joe Biden in 2020 and is currently eligible to run again in 2024. If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president after Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.[73][74] Trump is considered likely to receive the Republican presidential nomination if he does run.[75] If Trump runs against President Biden again, it will be the first presidential rematch since the 1956 presidential election. The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the presidential nominee of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican presidential nomination at national conventions subsequent to his leaving office in 1933.

Formally exploring a candidacy

As of June 2022, individuals in this section have formally explored a candidacy for president, either by "testing the waters" or forming a political action committee.

Candidate Born Experience State Exploratory committee announced Ref
Coreystapleton6.jpg
Corey Stapleton
September 17, 1967
(age 54)
Seattle, Washington
Secretary of State of Montana
(2017–2021)

Montana State Representative from District 27
(2001–2009)
Candidate for U.S. Representative from MT-AL in 2014 and 2020
Candidate for Governor in 2012
Flag of Montana.svg
Montana
March 10, 2022 [76]

Publicly expressed interest

As of June 2022, individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of June 2022, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months.

Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Libertarian Party

Potential candidates

As of June 2022, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months.

Independents, other third parties, or party unknown

Publicly expressed interest

As of June 2022, individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.


Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Primary election polling

Democratic Party

Polls with Joe Biden
Nationwide polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Stacey
Abrams
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Michelle
Obama
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23-24, 2022 544 LV ± 4.2% 3% 41% 11% 16% 8% 13%[d] 8%
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 3% 23% 5% 9% 3% 8% 9% 22%
YouGov May 5–9, 2022 460 A ± 3.5% 33% 8% 12% 6% 17% 16%[e]
Harvard/Harris January 19–20, 2022 32% 14% 11% 43%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 463 (LV) 6% 25% 2% 4% 8% 17% 7% 13%
UMass Amherst December 14–20, 2021 491 (A) 40% 9% 10% 7% 18% 16%[f]
YouGov/Yahoo News December 9–13, 2021 530 (RV) 22% 10% 13% 5% 11% 24%
YouGov/Yahoo News December 9–13, 2021 640 (A) 20% 10% 13% 7% 11% 24%
TIPP Insights December 1–4, 2021 1,013 (RV) 4% 37% 3% 3% 16% 4% 2% 13%
Harvard/Harris November 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 5% 36% 5% 3% 16% 5% 5% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) 4% 24% 2% 8% 13% 16% 5% 12% 16%
Zogby Analytics November 8–10, 2021 426 (LV) 6% 40% 4% 10% 20% 12%[g] 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News November 4–8, 2021 684 (A) 25% 7% 14% 8% 12% 8%[h] 31%
NPR-PBS NewsHouse-Marist October 18–22, 2021 469 (RV) 36% 44% 20%
Morning Consult October 8–11, 2021 886 (RV) 83% 13% 4%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 450 (RV) ± 4.6% 60% 39% 1%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[i] 57% 22%[j] 15%[k]
Polls without Joe Biden
Nationwide polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Stacey
Abrams
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Andrew
Cuomo
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Michelle
Obama
Beto
O'Rourke
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 511 (LV) 6% 12% 27% 4% 7% 6% 14%[l] 18%
Harvard/Harris November 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 5% 5% 8% 31% 5% 7% 15% 7% 16%[m]
Hill-HarrisX November 18–19, 2021 939 (RV) ± 3.2% 4% 3% 5% 26% 3% 15% 2% 5% 7% 2% 1% 12%[n] 16%
Echelon Insights November 12–18, 2021 458 (LV) 6% 6% 8% 29% 2% 5% 16% 6% 3%[o] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) 5% 3% 8% 2% 22% 5% 23% 3% 5% 29%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 671 (A) 7% 9% 22% 7% 12% 8% 4%[p] 31%
Echelon Insights October 15–19, 2021 533 (LV) 5% 4% 9% 23% 4% 5% 16% 6% 6%[q] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 473 (LV) 5% 3% 9% 2% 29% 3% 18% 3% 7% 7%[r] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 476 (LV) 5% 4% 7% 2% 29% 3% 17% 3% 7% 5%[s] 17%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 4% 5% 8% 4% 28% 2% 16% 2% 7% 4% 6%[t] 14%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 697 (A) 4% 6% 44% 4% 10% 6% 18%[u] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 463 (LV) 5% 3% 4% 2% 31% 3% 19% 3% 5% 3% 6%[v] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 459 (LV) 4% 4% 6% 1% 35% 3% 16% 2% 7% 2% 9%[w] 13%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[x] 9% 41% 5% 4% 8% 3% 29%[y]
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 458 (LV) 4% 5% 2% 34% 4% 20% 2% 3% 4% 6%[z] 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 443 (LV) 4% 7% 1% 28% 3% 23% 2% 8% 4% 6%[aa] 14%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 9–13, 2020 445 (LV) 3% 5% 5% 25% 2% 29% 7% 8%[ab] 18%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 445 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 6% 5% 29% 2% 23% 6% 5%[ac] 23%
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 461 (LV) 2% 8% 8% 18% 25% 6% 6%[ad] 28%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 390 (LV) ± 2.8% 6% 6% 16% 21% 19% 6% 6% 9% 8% 3%[ae]

Republican Party

Nationwide polling

Polls with Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Tucker
Carlson
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Josh
Hawley
Larry
Hogan
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Donald
Trump Jr.
Other Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 468 (LV) 13% 4% 1% 9% 3% 2% 1% 53% 8%
John Bolton Super PAC January 6, 2022 501 (LV) 5% 19% 4% 4% 1% 2% 36% 22%
UMass Amherst December 14–20, 2021 306 (A) 6% 20% 7% 6% 2% 4% 55%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) 2% 15% 3% 7% 1% 2% 1% 1% 55% 6% 8%
Zogby Analytics November 8–10, 2021 371 (LV) 2% 7% 5% 12% 2% 1% 59% 6%[af] 4%
YouGov/Yahoo News November 4–8, 2021 559 (A) 3% 21% 5% 4% 3% 44% 1%[ag] 19%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 10% 9% 47% 15% 19%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 629 (A) 1% 18% 4% 1% 5% 2% 2% 41% 2%[ah] 24%
Echelon Insights (Archived version) Archived October 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) 66%[ai] 31% 4%
22% 62%[ai] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) 3% 10% 4% 9% 1% 4% 2% 1% 53%[ai] 9%[aj] 6%
Morning Consult October 8–11, 2021 803 (RV) 3% 12% 3% 0% 0% 12% 0% 3% 3% 1% 47% 6% 6%[ak] 4%
Echelon Insights[1] September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) 59%[ai] 32% 9%
John Bolton Super PAC September 16–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 5% 25% 6% 1% 3% 2% 2% 26% 10%[al] 20%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 9% 3% 13% 3% 58% 0% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) 3% 8% 2% 10% 1% 3% 2% 1% 59%[ai] 7%[am] 4%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 10% 7% 1% 6% 3% 67% 5%[an] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 3% 11% 4% 8% 1% 3% 3% 0% 54%[ai] 7%[ao] 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 518 (A) 2% 13% 4% 0% 3% 1% 1% 58% 1%[ap] 17%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 2% 19% 3% 0% 1% 8% 0% 3% 1% 1% 47%[ai] - 2%[aq] 13%
31% 58%[ai] 11%
John Bolton Super PAC July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) 5% 13% 5% 0% 6% 3% 0% 46% 22%
Echelon Insights[2] June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) 59%[ai] 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) 4% 9% 3% 8% 1% 3% 1% 1% 55%[ai] 8%[ar] 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 378 (A) 65% 19%[as] 16%
Quinnipiac May 18–24, 2021 ~290 (A)[at] 66% 30%[au] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) 1% 3% 8% 5% 10% 1% 2% 0% 1% 57%[ai] 7%[av] 7%
Echelon Insights[3] May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) 63%[ai] 31% 6%
Morning Consult/Politico May 14–17, 2021 782 (RV) ± 2% 4% 8% 4% 0% 0% 13% 1% 4% 1% 2% 48% 7% 9%[aw]
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 348 (A) 68% 22%[ax] 10%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[ay] [ai] 62% 27%[az] 11%[ba]
Echelon Insights[4] Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) 59%[ai] 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 1% 3% 7% 2% 10% 1% 3% 1% 1% 55%[ai] 8%[bb] 9%
PEM Management Corporation Apr 3–7, 2021 494 (LV) 7% 9% 9% 6% 3% 44% 1%[bc]
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) 60%[ai] 30% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[5] Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 3% 7% 6% 1% 1% 9% 1% 5% 2% 0% 51%[ai] - 3%[bd] 12%
57%[be] 16%[bf] 27%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) 1% 5% 4% 3% 8% 3% 1% 54%[ai] 9%[bg] 10%
Harvard-Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) 5% 7% 2% 18% 2% 52%[ai] 13%[bh]
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) 55%[ai] 32% 14%
Morning Consult/Politico Feb 14–15, 2021 645 (RV) ± 4% 4% 6% 1% 1% 12% 2% 4% 2% 1% 54% 6% 10%[bi]
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[bj] 48%[ai] 40% 11%
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[bk] ± 3.09% 6% 2% 7% 1% 6% 13% 2% 19% 3% 3% 29%[ai] 2% 6%[bl]
Ipsos/Axios Jan 11–13, 2021 334 (A) ± 5.8% 57% 41% 1%[bm]
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 8–11, 2021 702 (RV) 7% 6% 1% 0% 18% 1% 5% 2% 1% 40% 6% 15%[bn]
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 9–13, 2020 442 (LV) 3% 5% 1% 3% 11% 1% 4% 1% 1% 56% 5%[bo] 10%
Fox News Dec 6–9, 2020 ~ 413 (RV) ± 4.5% 71% 21%[bp] 8%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 1% 4% 2% 4% 9% 1% 4% 2% 1% 53%[ai] 6%[bq] 15%
Morning Consult/Politico Nov 21–23, 2020 765 (RV) ± 2% 4% 4% 1% 0% 12% 4% 2% 1% 53% 8% 11%[br]
HarrisX/The Hill Nov 17–19, 2020 599 (RV) ± 2.26% 75% 25%
Seven Letter Insight Nov 10–19, 2020 ~555 (V)[bs] ± 2.5% 2% 6% 7% 1% 19% 4% 2% 35% 11% 4%[bt]
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[bu] ± 3.09% 4% 7% 4% 22% 2% 8% 5% 45%[ai] 5%[bv]
YouGov/Washington Examiner October 30, 2020 – (RV)[bw] 38% 43%[bx]
Polls without Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Tucker
Carlson
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Josh
Hawley
Larry
Hogan
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump Jr.
Other Undecided
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 409 (LV) 6% 39% 3% 1% 0% 18% 0% 3% 2% 0% 7% 5%[by] 15%
Echelon Insights[6] November 12–18, 2021 435 (RV) 10% 26% 6% 1% 0% 15% 1% 3% 1% 1% 13% 5%[bz] 20%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 12% 21% 23% 0% 43%
Echelon Insights[7] October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) 2% 8% 22% 5% 0% 0% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 13% 8%[ca] 22%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) 5% 24% 5% 14% 1% 5% 2% 2% 18% 11%[cb] 13%
Echelon Insights[8] September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) 2% 9% 22% 6% 1% 1% 15% 2% 4% 2% 1% 9% 11%[cc] 21%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 14% 20% 32% 0% 38%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) 7% 22% 4% 15% 2% 4% 2% 2% 19% 12%[cd] 11%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 13% 32% 10% 6% 24% 6% 9%[ce] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 9% 23% 4% 11% 2% 4% 4% 1% 12% 16%[cf] 14%
Echelon Insights[9] July 19–23, 2021 421 (RV) 1% 9% 32% 4% 1% 0%[cg] 17% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 6%[ch] 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 7% 39% 4% 0% 1% 15% 1% 3% 2% 4%[ci] 24%
Echelon Insights[10] June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) 1% 6% 21% 6% 0%[cj] 0%[ck] 14% 0%[cl] 4% 3% 2% 7% 7%[cm] 26%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) 6% 24% 4% 19% 1% 5% 2% 1% 15% 13%[cn] 11%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) 1% 12% 18% 5% 19% 2% 3% 1% 2% 13% 13%[co] 12%
Echelon Insights[11] May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) 2% 9% 22% 5% 1% 0%[cp] 14% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6% 9%[cq] 19%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[cr] 15% 35% 6% 1% 10% 10% 21%[cs]
Echelon Insights[12] Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) 2% 8% 20% 6% 1% 0%[ct] 16% 1% 4% 2% 0%[cu] 9% 3%[cv] 28%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 3% 10% 14% 3% 19% 2% 3% 3% 1% 15% 13%[cw] 14%
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) 4% 5% 17% 4% 16% 4% 3% 2% 3% 7%[cx] 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[13] Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 13% 17% 8% 2% 1% 19% 4% 5% 4% 1% 7%[cy] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) 1% 9% 9% 5% 15% 6% 2% 21% 16%[cz] 17%
RMG Research/Just the News Feb 25–27, 2021 363 (RV) 8% 18% 21% 10% 2% 9% 33%[da]
Harvard-Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) 16% 10% 6% 41% 7% 19%[db]
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) 1% 10% 8% 6% ≤1% 1% 21% 1% 4% ≤1% ≤1% 8% 12%[dc] 26%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[dd] 2% 8% 2% 9% 0% 0% 21% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 10%[de] 30%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[df] ± 3.09% 9% 3% 8% 2% 7% 22% 3% 20% 4% 3% 11% 8%[dg]
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 1% 7% 2% 6% 20% 1% 5% 3% 2% 20% 13%[dh] 22%
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[di] ± 3.1% 6% 14% 6% 44% 3% 11% 6% 7%[dj]
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 449 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 8% 30% 5% 2% 1% 20% 5%[dk] 21%
Echelon Insights Aug 14–18, 2020 423 (LV) 2% 4% 7% 0% 1% 26% 5% 1% 12% 11%[dl] 29%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 309 (LV) ± 2.8% 7% 8% 11% 31% 3% 9% 5% 17% 9%[dm]

Statewide polling

Statewide polling
Maine primary
Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Marco
Rubio
Ivanka
Trump
Donald
Trump Jr.
Other Undecided
January 3, 2023 Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
SurveyUSA / FairVote Jun 30 – July 6, 2020 604 (LV) ± 4.1% 12% 12% 30% 6% 7% 11% 21%
South Carolina primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Trafalgar (R) Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 2.99% 64% 11%[dn] 25%[do]
Utah primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Liz
Cheney
Chris
Christie
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
OH Predictive Insights Nov 5–15, 2021 333 (RV) ± 5.4% 1% 1% 3% 7% 4% 9% 20% 1% 43% 1% 10%
2% 1% 8% 18% 5% 13% 21% 1% 1% 20%

General election polling

Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/Undecided
[dp]
Margin
Real Clear Politics April 19 – May 25, 2022 May 26, 2022 44.0% 45.2% 10.8% Trump +1.2
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 1,030 (LV) 45% 43% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies June 15, 2022 1,064 (LV) 38% 41% 21%
YouGov/Yahoo News June 10–13, 2022 1,243 (RV) 42% 44% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 30, 2022 1,173 (LV) 38% 42% 20%
Emerson College May 24–25, 2022 1,148 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 44% 14%
Echelon Insights May 20–23, 2022 1,020 (LV) 45% 44% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 19–22, 2022 1,360 (RV) 44% 42% 14%
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 1,963 (RV) 42% 45% 13%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 17, 2022 1,120 (LV) 39% 42% 19%
Rasmussen Reports April 28 – May 2, 2022 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 50% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 1, 2022 1,096 (LV) 40% 44% 16%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. April 19–27, 2022 800 (LV) 48% 46% 5%
Emerson College April 25–26, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 43% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) 43% 50% 7%
Morning Consult April 22–25, 2022 2,004 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 44% 11%
InsiderAdvantage (R) April 21–23, 2022 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 43% 47% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News April 19–22, 2022 1,187 (RV) 43% 41% 16%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 1,966 (RV) 43% 45% 12%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 1,001 (LV) 45% 44% 11%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies April 18, 2022 1,500 (LV) 41% 43% 16%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 31 – April 4, 2022 1,233 (RV) 45% 40% 15%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies April 3, 2022 1,205 (LV) 38% 43% 19%
Marquette Law School Mar 14–24, 2022 1,004 (A) ± 4.0% 41% 37% 22%
Harvard/Harris Mar 23–24, 2022 1,990 (RV) 41% 47% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 46% 49% 5%
Echelon Insights Mar 18–21, 2022 1,050 (RV) 46% 44% 10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell Mar 15–21, 2022 873 (RV) ± 3.7% 44% 42% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies March 20, 2022 1,193 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
Emerson College Mar 18–20, 2022 1,023 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 13%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 10–14, 2022 1,225 (RV) 47% 39% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies March 8, 2022 1,194 (LV) 40% 42% 18%
Wall Street Journal Mar 2–7, 2022 1,500 (RV) 45% 45% 9%
Schoen Cooperman Research Mar 2–6, 2022 800 (LV) 44% 44% 12%
YouGov/Yahoo News Feb 24–27, 2022 1,532 (A) ± 2.9% 40% 39% 21%
NewsNation Feb 23–24, 2022 1,046 (RV) 37% 41% 22%
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–24, 2022 2,026 (RV) 42% 48% 10%
Echelon Insights Feb 19–23, 2022 1,078 (RV) 45% 43% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies February 23, 2022 1,367 (LV) 42% 38% 20%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 16–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College Feb 19–20, 2022 1,138 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 48% 8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. February 3–9, 2022 800 (LV) 46% 43% 11%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies February 6, 2022 1,406 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jan 20–24, 2022 1,568 (A) ± 2.8% 42% 40% 18%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 44% 11%
Echelon Insights Jan 21–23, 2022 1,098 (RV) 47% 43% 10%
Marquette Law School Archived January 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine Jan 10–21, 2022 1,000 (A) 43% 33% 24%
Harvard/Harris Jan 19–20, 2022 1,815 (RV) 40% 46% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates Jan 13–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies January 8–9, 2022 1,430 (LV) 39% 38% 23%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac January 6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 44% 11%
Rasmussen Reports January 5, 2022 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 14%
InsiderAdvantage (R) Dec 17–19, 2021 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 41% 49% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies December 18, 2021 1,411 (LV) 34% 39% 27%
YouGov/Yahoo News Dec 9–13, 2021 1,558 (A) 47% 41% 12%
Echelon Insights Dec 9–13, 2021 1,098 (RV) 47% 44% 9%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies December 5, 2021 1,387 (LV) 38% 42% 20%
Harvard/Harris Nov 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 45% 48% 7%
Rasmussen Reports Nov 22–23, 2021 1,200 (LV) ± 3.0% 32% 45% 23%
Wall Street Journal Nov 16–22, 2021 1,500 (RV) 46% 45% 10%
Echelon Insights[permanent dead link] Nov 12–18, 2021 1,013 (RV) 45% 45% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 11–16, 2021 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies November 15, 2021 1,500 (RV) 35% 41% 24%
Marquette Law School Archived November 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine Nov 1–10, 2021 1,004 (A) 42% 34% 24%
YouGov/Yahoo News Nov 4–8, 2021 1,673 (A) 43% 39% 18%
Suffolk University Nov 3–5, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 44% 16%
Emerson College Nov 3–4, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies October 31, 2021 1,387 (LV) 42% 42% 16%
Harvard/Harris Oct 26–28, 2021 1,578 (LV) 45% 46% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 19–21, 2021 1,704 (A) 43% 40% 17%
Echelon Insights Oct 15–19, 2021 1,098 (RV) 48% 42% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies October 17, 2021 1,366 (LV) 42% 40% 18%
Selzer and Company/Grinnell College Oct 13–17, 2021 745 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 40% 19%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6, 2021 1,345 (LV) 43% 41% 16%
Echelon Insights Sep 17–23, 2021 1,005 (RV) 50% 39% 11%
Rasmussen Reports Sep 21–22, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Sep 19–20, 2021 1,330 (LV) 42% 40% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates Sep 9–14, 2021 1,000 (LV) 47% 50% 3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Sep 4–5, 2021 1,357 (LV) 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College Aug 30 – September 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 46% 47% 7%
Rasmussen Reports Aug 16–17, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 37% 43% 20%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 1,552 (A) 47% 37% 16%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) 46% 43% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News June 22–24, 2021 1,592 (A) 47% 35% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 1,588 (A) 46% 36% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 1,561 (A) 48% 36% 16%
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,106 (A) 45% 28% 27%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac Apr 3–7, 2021 1,000 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Matthew McConaughey
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Matthew
McConaughey
Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2021 1,030 (RV) 39% 40% 11% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Andrew
Yang
Forward
Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights Oct 15–19, 2021 1,098 (RV) 44% 40% 5% 11%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Rasmussen Reports April 28 – May 2, 2022 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 35% 46% 19%
Marquette Law School Mar 14–24, 2022 1,004 (A) ± 4.0% 38% 33% 29%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 44% 39% 17%
Marquette Law School Archived January 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine Jan 10–21, 2022 1,000 (A) 41% 33% 26%
Harvard/Harris Nov 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 43% 36% 21%
Emerson College Aug 30 – September 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 48% 36% 16%
Echelon Insights April 16–23, 2021 1,043 (RV) 45% 28% 27%
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,105 (A) 41% 25% 34%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,107 (A) 44% 19% 37%
Joe Biden vs. Ted Cruz
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ted
Cruz
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 39% 16%
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,105 (A) 46% 24% 30%
Joe Biden vs. Mitt Romney
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mitt
Romney
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights Mar 18–21, 2022 1,050 (RV) 41% 35% 24%
Emerson College Aug 30 – September 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 42% 23% 35%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Marquette Law School Mar 14–24, 2022 1,004 (A) ± 4.0% 37% 33% 29%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 44% 42% 14%
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Generic
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Morning Consult April 22–25, 2022 2,004 (RV) ± 2.0% 39% 46% 15%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 37% 46% 17%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 42% 50% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies June 15, 2022 1,064 (LV) 37% 43% 20%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 30, 2022 1,173 (LV) 40% 46% 14%
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 1,963 (RV) 40% 47% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 17, 2022 1,120 (LV) 37% 44% 19%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 1, 2022 1,096 (LV) 39% 43% 18%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. April 19–27, 2022 800 (LV) 49% 46% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) 41% 51% 8%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 1,966 (RV) 41% 47% 12%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 1,001 (LV) 43% 47% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies April 18, 2022 1,500 (LV) 39% 45% 16%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies April 3, 2022 1,205 (LV) 35% 44% 21%
Harvard/Harris Mar 23–24, 2022 1,990 (RV) 38% 49% 13%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 42% 50% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies March 20, 2022 1,193 (LV) 39% 42% 19%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies March 8, 2022 1,194 (LV) 37% 42% 21%
Schoen Cooperman Research Mar 2–6, 2022 800 (LV) 43% 47% 10%
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–24, 2022 2,026 (RV) 39% 51% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies February 23, 2022 1,367 (LV) 41% 37% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 16–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 43% 50% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. February 3–9, 2022 800 (LV) 46% 45% 9%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies February 6, 2022 1,406 (RV) 40% 43% 17%
Harvard/Harris Jan 19–20, 2022 1,815 (RV) 39% 49% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Jan 13–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) 40% 51% 9%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies January 8–9, 2022 1,430 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies December 5, 2021 1,387 (LV) 38% 42% 20%
Harvard/Harris Nov 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 41% 50% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 11–16, 2021 1,000 (LV) 42% 50% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies November 15, 2021 1,500 (RV) 33% 42% 25%
McLaughlin & Associates Oct 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) 46% 49% 4%
Rasmussen Reports Sep 21–22, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 52% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates Sep 9–14, 2021 1,000 (LV) 47% 49% 4%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 1,000 (LV) 46% 49% 5%
Echelon Insights June 18–22, 2021 1,001 (RV) 47% 40% 13%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 1,000 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pence
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights June 18–22, 2021 1,001 (RV) 45% 36% 19%
Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 1,963 (RV) 41% 38% 20%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 1,966 (RV) 42% 38% 20%
Harvard/Harris Mar 23–24, 2022 1,990 (RV) 40% 38% 22%
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–24, 2022 2,026 (RV) 41% 39% 20%
Harvard/Harris Jan 19–20, 2022 1,815 (RV) 39% 40% 21%
Harvard/Harris Nov 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 42% 37% 21%
Harvard/Harris Oct 26–28, 2021 1,578 (RV) 40% 42% 18%
Echelon Insights Apr 16–23, 2021 1,043 (RV) 43% 31% 26%
Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pompeo
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Mike
Pompeo
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Harvard/Harris Oct 26–28, 2021 1,578 (RV) 41% 41% 18%
Kamala Harris vs. Tim Scott
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Tim
Scott
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Harvard/Harris Oct 26–28, 2021 1,578 (RV) 39% 42% 19%
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) 39% 49% 12%
Harvard/Harris Nov 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 37% 48% 15%
Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Hillary
Clinton
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 41% 51% 8%
Schoen Cooperman Research Mar 2–6, 2022 800 (LV) 43% 46% 11%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 16–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 43% 50% 7%
Echelon Insights Jan 21–23, 2022 1,098 (RV) 43% 44% 13%
McLaughlin & Associates Jan 13–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) 41% 51% 8%
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Bernie
Sanders
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Morning Consult April 22–25, 2022 2,004 (RV) ± 2.0% 42% 43% 15%
Phil Murphy vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Phil
Murphy
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) 33% 49% 18%
Mark Cuban vs. Elon Musk
Poll source Date Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mark
Cuban
Elon
Musk
Other/
Undecided
Emerson College May 24–25, 2022 1,148 (RV) ± 2.8% 20% 29% 50%

Timeline

See also

Notes

  1. ^ If either is elected he would be the second president, after Grover Cleveland, to win a second non-consecutive term.
  2. ^ If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president, after Grover Cleveland, to serve two non-consecutive terms.[85][74]
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Jill Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Gavin Newsom with 3% each
  5. ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; "someone else" with 10%
  6. ^ Elizabeth Warren with 10%; Hillary Clinton with 6%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Gavin Newsom with 4%
  8. ^ Elizabeth Warren with 8%
  9. ^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
  10. ^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Biden" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Biden" with 22%; Would not vote with 6%
  11. ^ "Consider voting for Biden" with 8%; Undecided with 7%
  12. ^ Gavin Newsom with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Phil Murphy, J. B. Pritzker, Kyrsten Sinema, and Raphael Warnock with 1%; Eric Adams, Andy Beshear, Jared Polis, and Gina Raimondo with 0%; Roy Cooper and Mitch Landrieu with no voters
  13. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Other/Don't know with 14%
  14. ^ Gavin Newsom with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; Michael Bloomberg with 2%; Sherrod Brown, Gretchen Whitmer, and Katie Porter with 1%
  15. ^ Gavin Newsom with 2%; Joe Manchin with 1%; "Someone else", Andy Beshear, Tulsi Gabbard, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
  16. ^ Sherrod Brown with 4%
  17. ^ Gavin Newsom with 3%; "Someone else", Tulsi Gabbard and Joe Manchin with 1%; Andy Beshear, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
  18. ^ Joe Manchin and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  19. ^ Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  20. ^ John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  21. ^ Sherrod Brown with 2%
  22. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  23. ^ Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom and Deval Patrick with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  24. ^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 26%; Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
  26. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  27. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
  28. ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
  29. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  30. ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
  31. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%
  32. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%
  33. ^ Glenn Youngkin with 1%
  34. ^ Tom Cotton And Kristi Noem with 1%
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Standard VI response
  36. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  37. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  38. ^ Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%
  39. ^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  40. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  41. ^ John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
  42. ^ Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  43. ^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  44. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  45. ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%
  46. ^ 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
  47. ^ "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%
  48. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  49. ^ Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  50. ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%
  51. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  52. ^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
  53. ^ "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%
  54. ^ John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  55. ^ Kristi Noem with 1%
  56. ^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  57. ^ On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
  58. ^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%
  59. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  60. ^ "Someone else" with 12%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  61. ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  62. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  63. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[146]
  64. ^ Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Ivanka Trump with 1%
  65. ^ Listed as "Skipped"
  66. ^ Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
  67. ^ John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  68. ^ "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%
  69. ^ John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  70. ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
  71. ^ 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
  72. ^ Ivanka Trump with 2%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with 1%
  73. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  74. ^ John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
  75. ^ Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
  76. ^ Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
  77. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  78. ^ Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
  79. ^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  80. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  81. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
  82. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  83. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  84. ^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  85. ^ No voters
  86. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  87. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
  88. ^ No voters
  89. ^ No voters
  90. ^ No voters
  91. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
  92. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  93. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  94. ^ No voters
  95. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
  96. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  97. ^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
  98. ^ No voters
  99. ^ No voters
  100. ^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
  101. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
  102. ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else," Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
  103. ^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
  104. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
  105. ^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
  106. ^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
  107. ^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
  108. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  109. ^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  110. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[146]
  111. ^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
  112. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
  113. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  114. ^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
  115. ^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  116. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  117. ^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
  118. ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  119. ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
  120. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

  1. ^ "Election Planning Calendar" (PDF). Essex-virginia.org. Essex County, Virginia. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 7, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  2. ^ a b c Rafford, Claire (January 19, 2022). "Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024". Politico. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  3. ^ Cillizza, Chris (March 11, 2022). "Analysis: Yes, of course, Donald Trump can win in 2024". CNN. Retrieved April 29, 2022.
  4. ^ "US Election guide: how does the election work?". The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Archived from the original on November 10, 2015. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  5. ^ McArdle, Megan (May 21, 2015). "2016 Might Look Safe to Democrats. But 2024?". Bloomberg. Archived from the original on October 23, 2015. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  6. ^ Janda, Kenneth (2013). The Challenge of Democracy: American Government in Global Politics. Wadsworth. p. 218. ISBN 978-1133602309.
  7. ^ Neale, Thomas (2012). The Electoral College: How It Works in Contemporary Presidential Elections (PDF). Congressional Research Service. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  8. ^ Campbell, James E. (March 1986). "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections". The American Political Science Review. 80 (1): 45–63. doi:10.2307/1957083. JSTOR 1957083.
  9. ^ Jacobson, Louis (November 10, 2020). "Biden's Coattails Didn't Extend to State Legislatures". U.S. News & World Report. Archived from the original on February 9, 2021. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  10. ^ a b Levine, Sam; Chang, Alvin (December 15, 2020). "As Biden won the presidency, Republicans cemented their grip on power for the next decade". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on February 9, 2021. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
  11. ^ Sarlin, Benjy (August 26, 2014). "Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020". MSNBC. Archived from the original on October 28, 2015.
  12. ^ Daley, David (October 15, 2020). "Inside the Republican Plot for Permanent Minority Rule". The New Republic. Archived from the original on October 18, 2020. Retrieved October 18, 2020.
  13. ^ "Daily Updates of Totals by Week and State". Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Archived from the original on November 28, 2020. Retrieved June 22, 2021.
  14. ^ Siders, David (April 2, 2020). "How the coronavirus is shaping the 2024 presidential race". Politico. Archived from the original on June 11, 2020. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
  15. ^ Allison, Natalie (June 24, 2022). "Roe reversal divides 2024 GOP field". Politico. Retrieved June 25, 2022.
  16. ^ Gittleson, Ben (December 22, 2021). "Biden tells ABC's David Muir 'yes' he'll run again, Trump rematch would 'increase the prospect'". ABC News. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  17. ^ Gangitano, Alex (November 18, 2021). "Harris says 2024 is 'absolutely not' being discussed yet with Biden". The Hill. Archived from the original on November 19, 2021. Retrieved November 19, 2021.
  18. ^ Ting, Eric (October 29, 2021). "Kamala Harris' team reportedly worried about 'messy' 2024 fight with Pete Buttigieg". San Francisco Chronicle. Archived from the original on November 16, 2021. Retrieved November 19, 2021.
  19. ^ Lowry, Rich (November 18, 2021). "A 2024 Harris-Buttigieg Primary Would Be Great for Republicans". Politico. Archived from the original on November 20, 2021. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
  20. ^ Luscombe, Richard (November 21, 2021). "Joe Biden reportedly telling allies he will run for president again in 2024". The Guardian. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  21. ^ a b c Otterbein, Holly (January 1, 2022). "The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to see a Biden primary challenge". POLITICO. Archived from the original on January 7, 2022. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
  22. ^ a b Dorman, John L. (January 2, 2022). "Former Sanders presidential campaign manager says Biden will have 'a progressive challenger' in 2024". Business Insider. Archived from the original on January 4, 2022. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
  23. ^ McDonough, Annie (May 12, 2022). "Eric Adams for president?". City & State New York. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  24. ^ Massie, Graeme (May 21, 2022). "NYC Mayor Eric Adams is eyeing a White House run in 2024, report claims". Independent. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  25. ^ a b c d Parnes, Amie (May 30, 2022). "Ranking the five Democrats most likely to win party nod if Biden doesn't run". The Hill. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  26. ^ a b c d Epstein, Reid J.; Medina, Jennifer (June 11, 2022). "Should Biden Run in 2024? Democratic Whispers of 'No' Start to Rise". The New York Times. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  27. ^ Bowen, Russ (April 19, 2022). "Roy Cooper for president? One list says it's possible". Wavy.com. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  28. ^ Opeka, Theresa (April 21, 2022). "Roy Cooper for president? Why he was named a top pick for 2024". The Carolina Journal. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  29. ^ Glueck, Katie (March 7, 2022). "What Is Andrew Cuomo Up To?". New York Times.
  30. ^ Devine, Miranda (February 9, 2022). "Democrat sleazebags Andrew Cuomo, Eric Schneiderman already attempting comebacks". New York Post.
  31. ^ Monson, Dori (January 18, 2022). "Gov. Inslee could be in 'early stages of another presidential run,' political watchdog theorizes". My Northwest. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  32. ^ Queary, Paul (January 13, 2022). "Jay Inslee's Intriguing Side Trip to Chicago: Still a Presidential Itch?". Post Alley. Retrieved January 18, 2022.
  33. ^ Chris Cillizza (June 17, 2022). "Ranking the 2024 Democratic field". CNN. Retrieved June 20, 2022.
  34. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart (June 6, 2022). "What's next for Chris Murphy". Roll Call. Retrieved June 20, 2022.
  35. ^ Antle III, W. James (April 19, 2022). "AOC Running For President In 2024? Here's Why It Could Happen". 1945. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  36. ^ Buckby, Jack (February 14, 2022). "AOC For President In 2024? Why It Could Happen". 1945. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  37. ^ a b c Perry Bacon Jr. (January 14, 2022). "Opinion: If Biden doesn't run, Democrats have plenty of strong candidates for 2024". Washington Post.
  38. ^ Hohmann, James (January 12, 2022). "Opinion: Want to glimpse the Democrats' future? Look at Gina Raimondo". Washington Post.
  39. ^ Battenfeld, Joe (May 20, 2022). "Battenfeld: If Biden leaves, Raimondo for president?". Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  40. ^ Browning, Bill (January 19, 2022). "Is Kyrsten Sinema planning to run for president in 2024?". LGBTQ Nation. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  41. ^ Cauterucci, Christina (January 21, 2022). "Arizona Democrats Have Turned On Kyrsten Sinema". Slate. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  42. ^ a b Trudo, Hanna (April 26, 2022). "Progressives eye new strategies in case of 2024 opening". The Hill. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  43. ^ Eaton, Sabrina (May 4, 2022). "Nina Turner hints at presidential run in congressional concession speech". Cleveland.com. Retrieved May 7, 2022.
  44. ^ Kilgore, Ed (January 8, 2022). "Will This Be the Year Senator Ron Johnson's Luck Runs Out?". Intelligencer.
  45. ^ Blake, Aaron (April 16, 2022). "The top 10 Democratic presidential candidates for 2024, ranked". Washington Post. Retrieved May 15, 2022.
  46. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart (April 25, 2022). "In 2024, it could be Biden, Harris or bust". Roll Call. Retrieved May 15, 2022.
  47. ^ Mohyeldin, Ayman (February 7, 2022). "Marianne Williamson on Ayman". The Choice. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  48. ^ Cameron Jenkins (November 16, 2021). "Stacey Abrams says she's focused on voting rights legislation when asked about possible White House bid". The Hill. Archived from the original on November 16, 2021. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  49. ^ a b c Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (December 12, 2021). "Democrats Are Solidly Behind Biden. There's No Consensus About a Plan B." The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on December 15, 2021. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
  50. ^ Everett, Burgess. "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks". POLITICO. Retrieved June 9, 2022.
  51. ^ Joe Concha (November 14, 2021). "Meet the red-state governor Democrats should nominate in 2024 instead of Biden or Harris". The Hill. Archived from the original on November 24, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  52. ^ Boyer, Corinne (November 18, 2021). "Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear says, "No," he won't consider running for president in 2024". WEKU. Archived from the original on November 19, 2021. Retrieved December 4, 2021.
  53. ^ Daniels, Eugene; Thompson, Alex (November 14, 2021). "Biden-successor chatter grows and Harris isn't scaring off anyone". Politico. Archived from the original on November 27, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  54. ^ Paul Steinhauser (November 18, 2021). "Cory Booker's trip to New Hampshire is about 2022 and possibly 2028, but not 2024". Fox News. Archived from the original on December 22, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  55. ^ Schoen, Douglas E.; Stein, Andrew (January 11, 2022). "Hillary Clinton's 2024 Election Comeback". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2022.
  56. ^ Fung, Katherine (March 8, 2022). "Hillary Clinton Won't Run in 2024, Rules Out Possible Trump Rematch". Newsweek. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
  57. ^ Kennedy, Brigid (March 17, 2022). "Team Bernie Sanders is reportedly quietly encouraging Ro Khanna to run in 2024 if Biden sits out". Yahoo News. Retrieved March 17, 2022.
  58. ^ Otterbein, Holly (March 17, 2022). "Sanders camp quietly pushes Khanna presidential bid". Politico. Retrieved March 17, 2022. 'I'm not running in 2024,' Khanna said. 'I fully expect [Biden] to run and intend to support him strongly. If for some reason he didn't, that would be very disappointing, but there are a number of other candidates who I think I could get behind who would make sure that the Democrats beat Donald Trump.'
  59. ^ Haring, Bruce (January 29, 2022). "Bill Maher Fires Back At Those Who Say His Politics Have Changed, Blames "Looney" Left Policies". Deadline. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  60. ^ Assunção, Muri. "Bill Maher says he's become a 'hero' at Fox News because he's willing to call out progressive Democrats". New York Daily News. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  61. ^ Grim, Ryan (December 22, 2021). "Joe Manchin for President". The Intercept. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  62. ^ Schwartz, Brian (October 12, 2021). "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin". CNBC.
  63. ^ Matt Arco (January 9, 2022). "Murphy has more progressive goals for his 2nd term in N.J. And he insists he won't run for president". NJ.com. Retrieved April 18, 2022.
  64. ^ Powell, Bill (September 15, 2021). "Gavin Newsom 2024? Why Democrats Are So Eager for an Alternative to Kamala Harris". Newsweek. Archived from the original on September 20, 2021. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  65. ^ Vakir, Caroline (September 16, 2021). "Newsom: Presidential bid has '100 percent never been on my radar'". The Hill. Archived from the original on September 17, 2021. Retrieved September 16, 2021.
  66. ^ Adams, Myra (February 2, 2022). "Michelle Obama: Democrats' 2024 'break glass in case of emergency' candidate". The Hill. Archived from the original on February 3, 2022. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
  67. ^ Axelrod, Tal (August 2, 2019). "Michelle Obama: 'There's zero chance' I run for president". The Hill. Archived from the original on August 2, 2019. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
  68. ^ Kraushaar, Josh (December 31, 2021). "Colorado's governor provides winning model for the Democratic Party's future". National Journal. Archived from the original on January 1, 2022. Retrieved December 31, 2021.
  69. ^ Udasin, Sharon (May 30, 2022). "Colorado's Jared Polis is one Democrat not sweating November". thehill.com. Retrieved May 30, 2022. Countering media speculation about his political future, Polis said he has no intentions of running for president and doubts that he would “ever think about” doing so.
  70. ^ "President Pritzker? Gov. Pritzker Responds to a Report Weighing Potential 2024 Presidential Candidates". WMAQ-TV. December 14, 2021. Archived from the original on December 15, 2021. Retrieved December 19, 2021.
  71. ^ Linskey, Annie (May 1, 2021). "Elizabeth Warren, in new book, muses on why she didn't win". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on May 1, 2021. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  72. ^ Emma Platoff; Jess Bidgood (May 9, 2021). "'I'm not running for president': Elizabeth Warren sees her role in the Senate, and in nudging Joe Biden to the left". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on May 9, 2021. Retrieved May 24, 2021.
  73. ^ Michael D'Antonio (November 27, 2020). "Trump 2024? It could happen". CNN. Archived from the original on November 27, 2020. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
  74. ^ a b DeBonis, Mike; Kim, Seung Min (January 13, 2020). "House impeaches Trump with 10 Republicans joining, but Senate plans unclear". www.msn.com. No. January 13, 2020. The Washington Post. Archived from the original on February 9, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
  75. ^ Bravender, Robin (November 10, 2021). "A top campaign strategist for Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin says 'if Trump runs, Trump will be the nominee' in 2024". Business Insider. Retrieved January 9, 2022. Immediately after Youngkin's upset win last week, political pundits started chattering about whether the Virginia governor-elect was on a fast track to the White House.
  76. ^ Warren, Bradley (March 10, 2022). "Corey Stapleton announcing that he is "Testing the Waters," to run for president in 2024". ABC Fox MT. Retrieved March 10, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  77. ^ Sexton, Adam (March 20, 2022). "CloseUp: Christie considering 2024 presidential run". wmur.com. Retrieved May 2, 2022.
  78. ^ "Tom Cotton teases prospect of 2024 presidential run: 'We'll see what happens'". Fox News. June 14, 2022. Retrieved June 14, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  79. ^ Bollinger, Alex (February 4, 2022). "Marjorie Taylor Greene is mulling a run for president in 2024". LGBTQ Nation. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  80. ^ Saric, Ivana (February 13, 2022). "GOP Gov. Larry Hogan says he will "certainly" consider a 2024 presidential run". Axios. Retrieved March 11, 2022.
  81. ^ Cole, Devan (May 1, 2022). "Arkansas GOP governor says he's considering 2024 bid and would run even if Trump does". CNN.
  82. ^ Skalka, Liz (April 18, 2022). "Adam Kinzinger Is 'Slow Ghosting' Congress. Now He May Want To Beat Donald Trump In A Primary". Huffington Post. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  83. ^ Martin, Jonathan (May 23, 2022). "Pence, Tiptoeing Away From Trump, Lays Groundwork for '24 Run". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  84. ^ Pager, Tyler (January 30, 2022). "Trump suggests that if he is reelected, he will pardon Jan. 6 Capitol rioters". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
  85. ^ Michael D'Antonio (November 27, 2020). "Trump 2024? It could happen". CNN. Archived from the original on November 27, 2020. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
  86. ^ "Abbott Losing Ground In Recent Polling For 2022 & 2024". Reform Austin News. April 6, 2022. Retrieved May 29, 2022.
  87. ^ Stanley-Becker, Isaac; Scherer, Michael (May 27, 2022). "Texas Gov. Greg Abbott's school shooting response under scrutiny". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 29, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  88. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Archived from the original on March 18, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  89. ^ Hutzler, Alexandra (March 21, 2022). "Ketanji Brown Jackson Hearing Has 4 Potential GOP Candidates for 2024 Race". Washington Post. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  90. ^ Swan, Jonathan (January 16, 2022). "Trump dogs "dull" DeSantis ahead of potential 2024 matchup". Axios. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  91. ^ Gancarski, A.G. (April 26, 2022). "New 2024 poll shows Kamala Harris leading Ron DeSantis". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 19, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  92. ^ Allison, Natalie (March 3, 2022). "Ducey won't run for Senate in Arizona". Politico. Retrieved March 27, 2022.
  93. ^ Smith, Dylan (March 3, 2022). "Ducey firmly disavows Senate run: 'I'm an executive'". Tucson Sentinel. Retrieved March 27, 2022.
  94. ^ Battenfeld, Joe (April 11, 2022). "Battenfeld: Nikki Haley testing the 2024 waters despite contentious relationship with Trump". Boston Herald. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  95. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (May 17, 2022). "Possible 2024 contender Nikki Haley returning to Iowa for Randy Feenstra fundraiser". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  96. ^ Booker, Brakkton (March 25, 2022). "Is Will Hurd going to run for president?". Politico. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
  97. ^ Alberta, Tim (March 28, 2022). "Will Hurd 2024: Revenge of the Normal Republicans?". The Atlantic. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
  98. ^ Warren, Michael (May 25, 2022). "How Brian Kemp wrote the GOP playbook for subduing Trump's election fury". CNN. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
  99. ^ Tures, John A. (May 26, 2022). "Will Brian Kemp be the 2024 GOP presidential nominee?". The Newnan Times-Herald. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
  100. ^ Persaud, Chris (February 2, 2022). "Pompeo in West Palm Beach backs Biden on Ukraine, hints at 2024 run". The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved May 24, 2022. The former State secretary did not confirm he would run for president in 2024. But he said: “You’ll see me in Iowa and New Hampshire. It’s not an accident.”
  101. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (April 7, 2022). "2024 Watch: Pompeo hints potential presidential run not dependent on what Trump decides". Fox News. Retrieved May 24, 2022. Asked about those comments and whether his own decision would be impacted by what Trump decides, Pompeo told Fox News, "The Pompeos have always used the simple fact of do you believe this is the moment where you think you can best serve America, this is the place you can have the most impact. That will be how we make our decision in the end."
  102. ^ Hounshell, Blake; Askarinam, Leah (March 28, 2022). "Marco Rubio Leads G.O.P. Push for a More Combative Stance on China". The New York Times. Retrieved May 24, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  103. ^ Leonard, Kimberly (May 4, 2022). "Sen. Marco Rubio's new bill wouldn't let employers deduct travel expenses that pay for abortion or trans care for minors". Business Insider. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  104. ^ Hounshell, Blake; Askarinam, Leah (March 21, 2022). "For These Republicans, Supreme Court Hearings Are an Irresistible Opportunity". The New York Times. Retrieved May 24, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  105. ^ Warren, Michael (March 23, 2022). "With Jackson confirmation hearing underway, these GOP senators with presidential ambitions look to make a splash". CNN. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  106. ^ Powers Maurice, Jacquelynn (April 16, 2022). "Why Miami Mayor Francis Suarez could help the GOP win the youth vote". New York Post. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  107. ^ Will, George F. (May 20, 2022). "From the Miami mayor's office to the White House? Why not?". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  108. ^ Blake, Aaron (April 4, 2022). "Chris Sununu goes there on Trump". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  109. ^ Siders, David (April 26, 2022). "The one Republican Trump can't touch". Politico. Retrieved May 24, 2022.
  110. ^ Va. Gov. Glenn Youngkin: "I have my eyes on 2024" | Spicer and Co., May 26, 2022, retrieved June 11, 2022
  111. ^ Lewis, Bob (February 28, 2022). "Youngkin may have White House dreams. But it's been a while since a Va. governor made the leap". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  112. ^ Swanson, Ian (June 21, 2021). "Tucker Carlson on running for president: 'I guess if like I was the last person on Earth'". The Hill. Archived from the original on July 1, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  113. ^ DeSanctis, Alexandra (July 15, 2019). "Tucker Carlson: 'I Would Be Insane to Run for President'". National Review. Archived from the original on February 9, 2021. Retrieved October 26, 2020.
  114. ^ Weissert, Will (January 13, 2021). "Impeachment could become defining moment for Liz Cheney". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  115. ^ Leonard, Ben (May 13, 2021). "Liz Cheney says she's not running for president". Politico. Archived from the original on May 13, 2021. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  116. ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 4, 2021). "Crenshaw pours cold water on 2024 White House bid: 'Something will emerge'". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 4, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2021.
  117. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (July 9, 2021). "GOP Rep. Crenshaw pushes back against 2024 speculation during swing through New Hampshire". Fox News. Archived from the original on August 6, 2021. Retrieved September 6, 2021.
  118. ^ Douglas Burns (October 29, 2020). "The early lead: Ranking Top 10 possible 2024 Republican White House candidates in Iowa". Carroll Daily Times Herald. Archived from the original on October 30, 2020. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  119. ^ Douglas Burns (February 18, 2021). "Ernst 'totally' rules out presidential run in 2024". Carroll Daily Times Herald. Archived from the original on February 18, 2021. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  120. ^ Caputo, Marc; Everett, Burgess (February 4, 2021). "'He's clearly laying groundwork': Hawley paves 2024 path". Politico. Archived from the original on February 4, 2021. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
  121. ^ Nawaguna, Elvina (January 26, 2021). "SCOOP: Josh Hawley says he is not running for president in 2024". Business Insider. Archived from the original on January 26, 2021. Retrieved January 26, 2021.
  122. ^ Athey, Amber (August 26, 2020). "Kristi Noem, first female president?". The Spectator. Archived from the original on September 3, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2020.
  123. ^ Kaczke, Lisa (July 8, 2020). "Gov. Kristi Noem: I don't want to be president in 2024". Sioux Falls Argus-Leader. Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
  124. ^ Wallace, Jeremy (August 26, 2020). "Are these Texans potential 2024 presidential contenders? Hint: One speaks tonight at the RNC". Houston Chronicle. Archived from the original on August 27, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  125. ^ "Friday letters: Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick says he won't run for president. Whew!". Houston Chronicle. January 11, 2019. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
  126. ^ Soave, Robby (March 10, 2022). "Perspective: Romney 2024 — The Third Time's A Charm?". Deseret. Retrieved March 13, 2022.
  127. ^ Bobic, Igor (April 28, 2022). "Mitt Romney For President In 2024? 'Not Going To Happen,' He Says". Huffington Post. Retrieved May 1, 2022.
  128. ^ Barkin, Jordan (July 26, 2021). "Ex-House speaker Paul Ryan could restore Republican Party sanity -opinion". The Jerusalem Post. Archived from the original on September 7, 2021. Retrieved September 1, 2021.
  129. ^ Graziosi, Graig (August 31, 2021). "Former Republican House speaker Paul Ryan speaks out on Trump's bogus election claims". The Independent. Archived from the original on September 1, 2021. Retrieved September 1, 2021.
  130. ^ Greenwood, Max (January 17, 2022). "Florida looms large in Republican 2024 primary". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
  131. ^ Fineout, Gary (November 12, 2021). "Rick Scott to run for reelection in '24". Politico. Archived from the original on December 8, 2021. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  132. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (October 13, 2021). "Tim Scott rakes in $8.3M for reelection, possible 2024 bid". Politico. Archived from the original on November 19, 2021. Retrieved December 19, 2021.
  133. ^ Cillizza, Chris (November 1, 2021). "Tim Scott confirms he's on the Trump 2024 train". CNN. Archived from the original on November 23, 2021. Retrieved December 19, 2021.
  134. ^ Kwong, Jessica (March 28, 2019). "Ivanka Trump Is Battling Donald Trump Jr. to Run for President, 'Has a Hissy Fit' When He Gets Good Press: Kushner Book Author". Newsweek. Archived from the original on September 11, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020.
  135. ^ Hensch, Mark (April 5, 2017). "Ivanka Trump shoots down 2024 run: 'Politics is a tough business'". The Hill. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved November 21, 2020.
  136. ^ Singman, Brooke (February 28, 2020). "Former GOP Gov. Scott Walker floats future presidential bid at CPAC". Fox News. Archived from the original on July 20, 2020. Retrieved July 20, 2020.
  137. ^ Sommerhauser, Mark (October 28, 2018). "What would the next four years bring under Scott Walker or Tony Evers?". AP News. Archived from the original on January 14, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020 – via Wisconsin State Journal.
  138. ^ Doherty, Brian (May 29, 2022). "Mises Caucus Takes Control of Libertarian Party". Reason.com. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  139. ^ Welch, Matt (June 3, 2022). "Can a Post-'Takeover' Libertarian Party Improve on Its Historical Run of 2012–20?". Reason.com.
  140. ^ Brana, Nick (June 14, 2022). "Jimmy Dore is considering running for president. He could win". People's Party.
  141. ^ "Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 'motivated' for presidential run: source". The News International. May 1, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  142. ^ "Howard Stern on Roe v. Wade's overturning: 'I'm actually going to probably have to run for president now': source". The Hill. June 27, 2022. Retrieved June 27, 2022.
  143. ^ Samuel Benson (June 9, 2022). "Andrew Yang's white horse". Deseret News. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  144. ^ Izaguirre, Cynthia; Wiley, Elizabeth (May 20, 2020). "Mavericks owner Mark Cuban won't rule out a 2024 presidential run". ABC News. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  145. ^ Weir, Greyson (January 21, 2021). "Mark Cuban Says That A 2024 Presidential Run Is No Longer In The Cards, But Won't Rule It Out". BroBile. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  146. ^ a b "Leger's Weekly Survey" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on February 9, 2021. Retrieved November 18, 2020.