2024 Indian general election in Assam

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2024 Indian general election in Assam

← 2019 19 April- 7 May 2024 2029 →

All 14 Assam seats in the Lok Sabha
Opinion polls
Turnout81.62% (Increase0.02%)
  First party Second party
 
Sarbananda Sonowal with PM Modi (cropped).jpg
Gaurav Gogoi and Manmohan Singh.jpg
Leader Sarbananda Sonowal Gaurav Gogoi
Party BJP INC
Alliance NDA INDIA
Leader since 2018 2020
Leader's seat Dibrugarh Jorhat
Last election 36.41%, 9 seats (BJP)
46.78%, 9 seats (NDA)
35.79%, 3 seats (INC)
Seats won 9 3
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 7,467,558 7,478,077
Percentage 37.43% 37.48%
Swing Increase 1.38 pp Increase 2.04 pp
Alliance seats 11 3
Seat change Increase 2 New
Alliance votes 9,241,703 7,892,518
Alliance percentage 42.29% 39.47%
Alliance swing Decrease 4.49 pp New

Results of the 2024 Indian general election in Assam

The 2024 Indian general election in Assam was held from 19 April to 7 May 2024, to elect the 14 members of the 18th Lok Sabha.[1][2]

Election schedule

Poll event Phase
I II III
Notification Date 20 March 28 March 12 April
Last Date for filing nomination 27 March 4 April 19 April
Scrutiny of nomination 28 March 5 April 20 April
Last Date for withdrawal of nomination 30 March 8 April 22 April
Date of poll 19 April 26 April 7 May
Date of counting of votes/Result 4 June 2024
No. of constituencies 5 5 4

Parties and alliances

  National Democratic Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats Contested
Bharatiya Janata Party
Sarbananda Sonowal 11
Asom Gana Parishad
Atul Bora 2
United People's Party Liberal
Urkhao Gwra Brahma 1
Total 14

  Indian National Developmental Inclusive
      Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats Contested
Indian National Congres
Gourav Gogoi 13
Assam Jatiya Parishad
Lurinjyoti Gogoi 1
Total 14

Others

Recognised parties
Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats Contested
All India United Democratic Front
Badruddin Ajmal 3
Bodoland People's Front
Hagrama Mohilary 4
All India Trinamool Congress Ripun Bora 4
Aam Aadmi Party Bhaben Choudhury 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
Manoranjan Talukdar 1
Communist Party of India Kanak Gogoi 1
Total 15
Unrecognised parties
Party Symbol Leader Seats Contested
Voters Party International 8
Bharatiya Gana Parishad 6
Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) Chandralekha Das 6
Gana Suraksha Party Heera Saraniya 4
Rashtriya Ulama Council 4
Republican Party of India (Athawale) 4
Asom Jana Morcha 3
Bahujan Maha Party 3
Bangali Nabanirman Sena 2
Ekam Sanatan Bharat Dal 2
Autonomous State Demand Committee Jayanta Rongpi 1
Bharatheeya Jawan Kisan Party 1
Hindu Samaj Party 1
Jai Prakash Janata Dal 1
The National Road Map Party of India 1
Total 47

Candidates

Constituency
NDA INDIA Others
1 Kokrajhar (ST) UPPL Joyanta Basumatary INC Garjan Mushahary AITC Gauri Shankar Sarania
BPF Kampa Borgoyari
2 Dhubri AGP Zabed Islam INC Rakibul Hussain AIUDF Badruddin Ajmal
3 Barpeta AGP Phani Bhusan Choudhury INC Deep Bayan AITC Abul Kalam Azad
CPI(M) Manoranjan Talukdar
4 Darrang–Udalguri BJP Dilip Saikia INC Madhab Rajbangshi BPF Durga Das Boro
5 Guwahati BJP Bijuli Kalita Medhi INC Mira Barthakur Goswami
6 Diphu (ST) BJP Amar Sing Tisso INC Joyram Engleng ASDC Jotson Bey
7 Karimganj BJP Kripanath Mallah INC Rashid Ahmed Choudhary AIUDF Sahabul Islam Choudhary
8 Silchar (SC) BJP Parimal Suklabaidya INC Surjya Kanta Sarkar AITC Radheshyam Biswas
9 Nowgong BJP Suresh Bora INC Pradyut Bordoloi AIUDF Aminul Islam
10 Kaziranga BJP Kamakhya Prasad Tasa INC Roselina Tirkey
11 Sonitpur BJP Ranjit Dutta INC Premlal Ganju AAP Rishiraj Sharma
BPF Raju Deuri
12 Lakhimpur BJP Pradan Baruah INC Uday Shankar Hazarika AITC Ghana Kanta Chutia
CPI Dhiren Kachari
13 Dibrugarh BJP Sarbananda Sonowal AJP Lurinjyoti Gogoi AAP Manoj Dhanuar
14 Jorhat BJP Topon Kumar Gogoi INC Gaurav Gogoi ESBD Arun Chandra Handique

Surveys and polls

Opinion polls

Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[3] ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[4] ±5% 12 2 0 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024[5] ±3% 12 1 1 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024[6] ±3-5% 12 2 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023[7] ±3% 9-11 2-4 0-1 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023[8] ±3% 12 1 1 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023[9] ±3% 7-9 4-6 0-1 NDA
August 2023 ±3% 9-11 3-4 0-1 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023[10] ±3-5% 12 1 1 NDA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[11] ±5% 51.8% 35.5% 16.3% 12.7
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[12] ±5% 45% 38% 13% 7
India Today-CVoter February 2024[13] ±3-5% 46% 31% 23% 15
India Today-CVoter August 2023[14] ±3-5% 48% 36% 16% 12

Exit polls

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA AIUDF Others

Voter turnout

Phase wise

Phase Poll Date Constituencies Voter Turnout (%)
I 19 April 2024 Kaziranga, Sonitpur, Lakhimpur, Dibrugarh, Jorhat 78.25%
II 26 April 2024 Darrang–Udalguri, Diphu (ST), Karimganj, Silchar (SC), Nowgong 81.17%
III 7 May 2024 Kokrajhar (ST), Dhubri, Barpeta, Guwahati 85.45%
Total 81.62%

Constituency wise

Constituency Poll Date Turnout Swing
1 Kokrajhar (ST) 7 May 2024 83.55% 0.25%Increase
2 Dhubri 92.08% 1.42%Increase
3 Barpeta 85.24% 1.33%Decrease
4 Darrang–Udalguri 26 April 2024 82.01% Steady
5 Guwahati 7 May 2024 78.39% 2.48%Decrease
6 Diphu (ST) 26 April 2024 75.74% 1.89%Decrease
7 Karimganj 80.48% 1.3%Increase
8 Silchar (SC) 79.05% 0.46%Decrease
9 Nowgong 84.97% 1.74%Increase
10 Kaziranga 19 April 2024 79.33% Steady
11 Sonitpur 78.46% Steady
12 Lakhimpur 76.42% 1.25%Increase
13 Dibrugarh 76.75% 0.55%Decrease
14 Jorhat 79.89% 2.32%Increase

Results

Results by alliance or party

Alliance/ Parties Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Contested Won +/−
NDA BJP 7,467,558 37.43 Increase 1.38 11 9 Steady
AGP 1,289,464 6.46 Decrease 1.85 2 1 Increase 1
UPPL 484,681 2.43 1 1 Increase 1
Total 9,241,703 42.29 14 11 Increase 2
INDIA INC 7,478,077 37.48 Increase 2.04 13 3 Steady
AJP 414,441 1.99 New 1 0 Steady
Total 7,892,518 39.47 14 3 Steady
AIUDF 624,305 3.13 Decrease 4.74 3 0 Decrease 1
Others 62 0 Steady
IND 53 0 Decrease 1
NOTA 238,276 1.19
Total 20,864,200 100 143 14

Results by constituency

Constituency Turnout Winner Runner Up Margin
Party Alliance Candidate Votes % Party Alliance Candidate Votes %
1 Kokrajhar (ST) 83.55%Increase United People's Party Liberal NDA Joyanta Basumatary 488,995 39.39 Bodoland People's Front Others Kampa Borgoyari 437,412 35.23 51,583
2 Dhubri 92.08%Increase Indian National Congress INDIA Rakibul Hussain 1,471,885 59.99 All India United Democratic Front Others Badruddin Ajmal 459,409 18.72 1,012,476
3 Barpeta 85.24%Decrease Asom Gana Parishad NDA Phani Bhusan Choudhury 860,113 51.02 Indian National Congress INDIA Deep Bayan 637,762 37.83 222,351
4 Darrang–Udalguri 82.01%Steady Bharatiya Janata Party Dilip Saikia 868,387 47.95 Madhab Rajbangshi 539,375 29.78 329,012
5 Guwahati 78.39%Decrease Bijuli Kalita Medhi 894,887 55.95 Mira Borthakur Goswami 643,797 40.25 251,090
6 Diphu (ST) 75.74%Decrease Amar Sing Tisso 334,620 49.01 Independent Independent J.I. Kathar 187,017 27.39 147,603
7 Karimganj 80.48%Increase Kripanath Mallah 545,093 47.53 Indian National Congress INDIA Hafiz Rashid Ahmed Choudhury 526,733 45.93 18,360
8 Silchar (SC) 79.05%Decrease Parimal Suklabaidya 652,405 59.89 Surya Kanta Sarkar 388,094 35.62 264,311
9 Nowgong 84.97%Increase Indian National Congress INDIA Pradyut Bordoloi 788,850 50.89 Bharatiya Janata Party NDA Suresh Borah 576,619 37.2 212,331
10 Kaziranga 79.33%Steady Bharatiya Janata Party NDA Kamakhya Prasad Tasa 897,043 55.04 Indian National Congress INDIA Roselina Tirkey 648,096 39.76 248,947
11 Sonitpur 78.46%Steady Ranjit Dutta 775,788 60.21 Premlal Ganju 414,380 32.16 361,408
12 Lakhimpur 76.42%Increase Pradan Baruah 663,122 54.75 Uday Shankar Hazarika 461,865 38.13 201,257
13 Dibrugarh 76.75%Decrease Sarbananda Sonowal 693,762 54.27 Assam Jatiya Parishad Lurinjyoti Gogoi 414,441 32.42 279,321
14 Jorhat 79.89%Increase Indian National Congress INDIA Gourav Gogoi 751,771 54.04 Bharatiya Janata Party NDA Topon Kumar Gogoi 607,378 43.66 144,393

See also

References

  1. ^ "BJP targets to win 14 seats in Assam in 2024 Lok Sabha elections".
  2. ^ "Assam Congress initiates grand alliance move against BJP for 2024 Lok Sabha polls". Retrieved 11 March 2023.
  3. ^ ABP News Bureau (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Set To Reign Supreme In Northeast, INDIA Faces Washout". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  4. ^ "ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep Assam As INDIA Bloc Projected To Suffer Setback". ABP News. 14 March 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  5. ^ Bhandari, Shashwat, ed. (5 March 2024). "Narendra Modi set to become PM for third time as BJP-led NDA may win 378 seats: India TV-CNX Opinion Poll". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  6. ^ Menon, Aditya (9 February 2024). "Mood of the Nation Survey: Modi 3.0 Certain or Can INDIA Push Back? 8 Key Trends". The Quint. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  7. ^ "ETG Survey: अगर आज हुए लोकसभा चुनाव तो किसकी बनेगी सरकार? देखें हर राज्य का गुणा-गणित". Times Now (in Hindi). 18 December 2023. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  8. ^ Dash, Nivedita, ed. (5 October 2023). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: BJP-led NDA set to sweep Assam with 12 Lok Sabha seats". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  9. ^ "Who Is Likely To Win If Lok Sabha Polls Are Held Today? ETG Survey Reveals | The Newshour Debate". Youtube. Times Now. 3 October 2023. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  10. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  11. ^ ABP News Bureau (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Set To Reign Supreme In Northeast, INDIA Faces Washout". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  12. ^ "ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep Assam As INDIA Bloc Projected To Suffer Setback". ABP News. 14 March 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  13. ^ Kalita, Karishma Saurabh (8 February 2024). "NDA to win 12 of 14 seats in Assam, INDIA bloc to get 2, predicts Mood of the Nation". India Today. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  14. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.