User:Mélencron/2014M

The CSA polls were based on communes with a population of at least 3,500, while the Harris Interactive and OpinionWay polls were based on communes with a population of at least 1,000.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	EXG	FG	PS	DVG	EELV	MoDem	UDI	UMP	DVD	FN	DIV
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	23 Mar 2014	–	36.45%	0.60%	3.13%	18.01%	15.88%	1.16%	0.97%	2.33%	18.51%	24.57%	4.76%	10.09%
OpinionWay	19–20 Mar 2014	1,005	40%	1%	4%	22%	13%	3%	3%		23%	20%	6%	5%
Harris Interactive	18–20 Mar 2014	1,000	–	1%	4%	35%		4%	5%		34%		5%	12%
CSA	14–19 Mar 2014	800	41%	1%	41%				49%				6%	3%
Harris Interactive	11–13 Mar 2014	1,000	–	1%	6%	35%		6%	6%		35%		9%	7%
Harris Interactive	4–6 Mar 2014	1,000	–	2%	6%	33%		4%	5%		36%		8%	6%
CSA	14–18 Feb 2014	809	43%	1%	43%				46%				8%	2%
CSA	17–21 Jan 2014	784	48%	1%	41%				46%				9%	3%
CSA	10–12 Sep 2013	993	49%	2%	10%	26%		4%	4%	35%			16%	3%
CSA	5–7 Mar 2013	1,004	52%	2%	9%	27%		6%	4%	38%			12%	2%
2008 election	9 Mar 2008	–	37.84%	1.79%	2.62%	31.52%	10.37%	1.19%	3.70%	–	25.05%	15.87%	0.93%	6.96%

Lyon

First round

The August 2013 Ifop poll proposed Gérard Collomb leading a list composed of the Socialist Party, French Communist Party, and Radical Party of the Left and separate lists for the Union of Democrats and Independents and Union for a Popular Movement, and also proposed Étienne Tête and Emeline Baume as joint leaders of the Europe Ecology – The Greens list.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Aline Guitard FG–GRAM	Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert FG–GRAM	Gérard Collomb PS–PRG	Étienne Tête EELV	Emeline Baume EELV	Pierre Hémon EELV	Éric Lafond LPTTPL	Christophe Geourjon UDI	Denis Broliquier UDI	Michel Havard UMP–UDI	Christophe Boudot FN	Others
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	23 Mar 2014	–	43.91%	7.56%	–	35.76%	8.90%	–	–	3.55%	–	–	30.49%	12.19%	1.55%
Ifop	27–29 Jan 2014	994	–	–	8%	36%	8%	–	–	5%	–	–	29.5%	12.5%	1%
Ifop	26–28 Aug 2013	662	–	–	–	42%	10%		–	5%	2%	–	30%	11%	–
Ifop-Fiducial	12–14 Jun 2013	709	–	–	–	42%	–	12%		–	–	5%	32%	9%	–

Second round

In the 1st and 4th sectors of Lyon, the Left Front lists advanced to the second round, securing 6,191 votes (4.78%), while the National Front lists were absent. In the 6th sector, the list of the right led by Dominique Nachury secured an absolute majority of votes in the first round, meaning that no second round was held.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Gérard Collomb PS–PRG– EELV	Étienne Tête EELV	Michel Havard UMP–UDI	Christophe Boudot FN
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	30 Mar 2014	–	43.44%	50.64%	–	34.24%	10.34%
Ifop	27–29 Jan 2014	994	–	57%	–	43%	–
Ifop	26–28 Aug 2013	662	–	57%	–	43%	–
				47%	13%	40%	–
				46%	13%	32%	9%
Ifop-Fiducial	12–14 Jun 2013	709	–	56%	–	44%	–

Marseille

First round

The September 2013 Ifop-Fiducial polls did not name "extreme-left" or Socialist Party list leaders, and the July 2013 Ifop poll, which was conducted for the Union for a Popular Movement, also omitted the names of list leaders for the Left Front, Europe Ecology – The Greens, the Democratic Movement, and the National Front. In the February 2013 Ifop-Fiducial poll, in the case that Bernard Tapie presented a list, the Socialist list was described as being supported by all four candidates named in previous scenarios.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	EXG	Jean-Marc Coppola FG	Patrick Mennucci PS–EELV	Eugène Caselli PS	Marie-Arlette Carlotti PS	Samia Ghali PS	Jacques Soubeyrand PRG	Lisette Narducci PRG	Karim Zéribi EELV	Sébastien Barles EELV	Bernard Tapie SE	Pape Diouf DVG	DVG	Jean-Luc Bennahmias MoDem	Jean-Claude Gaudin UMP–UDI	DVD	Stéphane Ravier FN	Others
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	23 Mar 2014	–	46.47%	0.35%	7.10%	20.77%	–	–	–	1.83%	–	–	–	–	5.63%	0.62%	–	37.64%	2.26%	23.16%	0.63%
CSA	17–18 Mar 2014	808	38%	1%	8%	28%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4%	2.5%	–	37%	1%	18%	0.5%
BVA	5–8 Mar 2014	1,010	–	–	11%	26%	–	–	–	1%	–	–	–	–	5%	–	–	41%	–	16%	–
Ifop-Fiducial	6–8 Feb 2014	703	–	1%	7%	29%	–	–	–	1%	–	–	–	–	4%	–	–	35%	–	22%	1%
CSA	27–28 Jan 2014	803	44%	1%	9%	31%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	<1%	–	3%	37%	–	17%	2%
Ifop-Fiducial	2–4 Jan 2014	702	–	1%	7%	25%	–	–	–	–	1.5%	6%	–	–	0.5%	–	4%	33%	–	21%	1%
BVA	13–15 Nov 2013	612	–	3%	8%	25%	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	–	5%	31%	–	21%	–
CSA	21–22 Oct 2013	802	–	1%	8%	25%	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	–	3%	34%	–	22%	–
Ifop-Fiducial	3–5 Sep 2013	702	–	1%	9%	21%	–	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	3%	34%	–	25%	–
Ifop-Fiducial	3–6 Jul 2013	903	–	1%	8%	23%	–	–	–	–	–	–	8%	–	–	–	3%	32%	–	25%	–
Ifop-Fiducial	21–23 Feb 2013	704	–	1%	10%	24%	–	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	3%	36%	–	19%	–
				1%	10%	–	24%	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	3%	35%	–	20%	–
				1%	9%	–	–	27%	–	–	–	–	6%	–	–	–	3%	36%	–	18%	–
				1%	10%	–	–	–	25%	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	3%	36%	–	18%	–
				0.5%	9.5%	23%				–	–	–	6%	13%	–	–	2%	32%	–	14%	–

Second round

The list of Jean-Claude Gaudin won outright during the first round in the 4th sector of Marseille. In the 2nd sector, Lisette Narducci of the Radical Party of the Left allied with the list of the right conducted by Solange Biaggi, allowing her to be re-elected as mayor of the sector.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Patrick Mennucci PS–EELV	Eugène Caselli PS–FG– EELV	Marie-Arlette Carlotti PS–FG– EELV	Samia Ghali PS–FG– EELV	Jean-Claude Gaudin UMP–UDI	Stéphane Ravier FN
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	30 Mar 2014	–	42.72%	31.09%	–	–	–	42.39%	26.51%
CSA	17–18 Mar 2014	808	–	41%	–	–	–	43%	16%
BVA	5–8 Mar 2014	1,010	–	39%	–	–	–	45%	16%
Ifop-Fiducial	6–8 Feb 2014	703	–	39%	–	–	–	41%	20%
CSA	27–28 Jan 2014	803	–	41%	–	–	–	42%	17%
Ifop-Fiducial	2–4 Jan 2014	702	–	41%	–	–	–	40%	19%
BVA	13–15 Nov 2013	612	–	41%	–	–	–	40%	19%
CSA	21–22 Oct 2013	802	–	41%	–	–	–	41%	18%
Ifop-Fiducial	3–5 Sep 2013	702	–	38%	–	–	–	40%	22%
Ifop-Fiducial	3–6 Jul 2013	903	–	39%	–	–	–	39%	22%
Ifop-Fiducial	21–23 Feb 2013	704	–	42%	–	–	–	39%	19%
				–	42%	–	–	39%	19%
				–	–	43%	–	40%	17%
				–	–	–	43%	39%	18%

Paris

First round

The lists conducted by Benoît Meyruey in the 13th and Bertand Vialle in the 15th arrondissements of Paris for Nous Citoyens were classified as miscellaneous by the Ministry of the Interior when most such lists were classified as miscellaneous right. In the 18th arrondissement, the list of David Pierre-Bloch was supported by both Nous Citoyens and Beigbeder, and for the purposes of this table is classified only as the latter. In the 20th arrondissement, Raoul Delamare ran a list classified under the label of the Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI), while that of Atanase Périfan was classified only as a UMP list as opposed to a "union of the right"; in this table, the prior is classified as miscellaneous right and the latter with Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet. Where possible, specific affiliations take precedence over generic classifications by the Ministry of the Interior (i.e., Nous Citoyens as opposed to miscellaneous or miscellaneous right).

The June 2013 Ifop-Fiducial poll did not specify a list leader for the UDI, and the February 2013 OpinionWay, January 2013 Ifop-Fiducial, and August 2012 Ifop polls did not specify a list leader for the National Front.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	LO	NPA	Danielle Simonnet PG	Ian Brossat FG	Anne Hidalgo PS–PCF– PRG	DVG	Christophe Najdovski EELV	Cécile Duflot EELV	Marielle de Sarnez MoDem	Christian Saint-Étienne UDI	Rama Yade UDI	Chantal Jouanno UDI	Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet UMP–UDI– MoDem	Rachida Dati UMP	François Fillon UMP–UDI	Jean-Louis Borloo UMP–PR	Charles Beigbeder PL	NC	DVD	Wallerand de Saint-Just FN	Others
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	23 Mar 2014	–	43.73%	0.55%	0.55%	4.94%	–	34.40%	1.01%	8.86%	–	–	–	–	–	35.64%	–	–	–	3.36%	1.40%	2.25%	6.26%	0.77%
Ifop	18–20 Mar 2014	899	–	0.5%	0.5%	4.5%	–	36.5%	1%	7.5%	–	–	–	–	–	35.5%	–	–	–	3.5%	1.5%	1%	7.5%	0.5%
BVA	14–19 Mar 2014	1,002	–	1%		6%	–	37%	1%	8%	–	–	–	–	–	35%	–	–	–	5%			7%	0%
CSA	10–12 Mar 2014	802	53%	1%		5%	–	38.5%	0.5%	7%	–	–	–	–	–	37.5%	–	–	–	3.5%			7%	<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial	7–11 Mar 2014	1,053	–	0.5%	0.5%	5%	–	38%	1%	6.5%	–	–	–	–	–	35.5%	–	–	–	3%	1%	1%	7.5%	0.5%
Ifop	23–27 Jan 2014	1,089	–	–	–	6%	–	39.5%	–	5.5%	–	–	–	–	–	36.5%	–	–	–	4%			8%	0.5%
CSA	3–7 Jan 2014	810	51%	–	–	5%	–	38%	–	7%	–	–	–	–	–	39%	–	–	–	–	–	–	8%	3%
Ifop	2–4 Jan 2014	931	–	–	–	5%	–	39.5%	–	6%	–	–	–	–	–	38.5%	–	–	–	1%			9%	1%
Ifop-Fiducial	13–17 Dec 2013	920	–	–	–	5%	–	39%	–	6.5%	–	–	–	–	–	38%	–	–	–	1.5%			9%	1%
Ifop-Fiducial	27–29 Aug 2013	881	–	–	–	–	6%	36.5%	–	5%	–	6.5%	3%	–	–	35%	–	–	–	–	–	–	8%	–
CSA	29 Jun–2 Jul 2013	801	49%	–	–	–	9%	36%	–	5%	–	5%	6%	–	–	32%	–	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–
Ifop-Fiducial	5–7 Jun 2013	855	–	–	–	–	6%	37%	–	6%	–	6%	5%	–	–	35%	–	–	–	–	–	–	5%	–
BVA	26–28 Mar 2013	807	–	–	–	–	8%	34%	–	–	8%	7%	–	5%	–	33%	–	–	–	–	–	–	5%	–
BVA	26–28 Mar 2013	807	–	–	–	–	7%	36%	–	–	9%	11%	–	9%	–	–	21%	–	–	–	–	–	7%	–
OpinionWay	13–15 Feb 2013	830	–	–	–	–	7%	35%	–	–	7%	6%	–	–	–	34%	–	–	–	–	–	–	7%	4%
				–	–	–	7%	37%	–	–	8%	8%	–	–	–	–	25%	–	–	–	–	–	8%	7%
				–	–	–	7%	35%	–	–	7%	6%	–	–	–	–	–	35%	–	–	–	–	6%	4%
Ifop-Fiducial	17–18 Jan 2013	692	–	–	–	–	7%	38%	–	–	9%	6.5%	–	–	5.5%	28%	–	–	–	–	–	–	6%	–
				–	–	–	7%	39%	–	–	8.5%	7%	–	–	10%	–	21%	–	–	–	–	–	7.5%	–
				–	–	–	7%	38%	–	–	9%	6%	–	–	6%	–	–	28%	–	–	–	–	6%	–
Ifop	28–30 Aug 2012	692	–	–	–	–	8%	39%	–	–	9%	9%	–	–	–	–	26%	–	–	–	–	–	9%	–
				–	–	–	8%	36%	–	–	9%	7%	–	–	–	–	–	33%	–	–	–	–	7%	–
				–	–	–	8%	37%	–	–	9%	8%	–	–	–	–	–	–	29%	–	–	–	9%	–

Second round

Aside from the two main lists, three other lists advanced were present in the second round: a miscellaneous right list led by Christian Le Roux in the 7th arrondissement which received 4,287 votes (0.75%), a list led by Charles Beigbeder in the 8th arrondissement which received 2,948 votes (0.51%), and a list led by Danielle Simonnet in the 20th arrondissement which received 7,732 votes (1.35%). No second round was needed in the 1st, 6th, 16th, or 17th arrondissements, where lists led by the right obtained an absolute majority of votes in the first round.

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Anne Hidalgo PS–PCF– PRG–EELV	Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet UMP–UDI– MoDem	Rachida Dati UMP	François Fillon UMP–UDI
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.
2014 election	30 Mar 2014	–	41.62%	53.33%	44.06%	–	–
Ifop	18–20 Mar 2014	899	–	52%	48%	–	–
BVA	14–19 Mar 2014	1,002	–	53%	47%	–	–
CSA	10–12 Mar 2014	802	–	52.5%	47.5%	–	–
Ifop-Fiducial	7–11 Mar 2014	1,053	–	53%	47%	–	–
Ifop	23–27 Jan 2014	1,089	–	54%	46%	–	–
CSA	3–7 Jan 2014	810	–	51.5%	48.5%	–	–
Ifop	2–4 Jan 2014	931	–	52.5%	47.5%	–	–
Ifop-Fiducial	13–17 Dec 2013	920	–	52.5%	47.5%	–	–
Ifop-Fiducial	27–29 Aug 2013	881	–	52.5%	47.5%	–	–
CSA	29 Jun–2 Jul 2013	801	–	53%	47%	–	–
Ifop-Fiducial	5–7 Jun 2013	855	–	54%	46%	–	–
BVA	26–28 Mar 2013	807	–	51%	49%	–	–
BVA	26–28 Mar 2013	807	–	58%	–	42%	–
OpinionWay	13–15 Feb 2013	830	–	55%	45%	–	–
				62%	–	38%	–
				54%	–	–	46%
Ifop-Fiducial	17–18 Jan 2013	692	–	56%	44%	–	–
				61%	–	39%	–
				56%	–	–	44%
Ifop	28–30 Aug 2012	692	–	54%	–	–	46%