Talk:2024 United States presidential election in Utah

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The "predictions" section is incorrect. While it's probably accurate for what the polling is saying at this time, the sources do not predict any winner - not a single one of them does, and the article claims they all predict a "Solid R" win - and, again, not a single source is supportive of that. 2600:8804:168D:5700:4049:2CC0:8A02:DAE9 (talk) 20:56, 8 March 2024 (UTC)[reply]

actually it looks like the CNN source predicts a Republican victory, but by only 2 points, so "Solid R" is still a mischaracterization of that as well, but that's the only one. 2600:8804:168D:5700:4049:2CC0:8A02:DAE9 (talk) 21:02, 8 March 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I'm not sure if you're looking at nationwide projections or Utah projection, but this is the Utah article, and every single one of the projections shows Utah in the safe R or solid R category. --Spiffy sperry (talk) 21:24, 8 March 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Please join this discussion on when to add a third party candidate to a state infobox. RFKJR has been polled in Utah once. Prcc27 (talk) 15:59, 5 May 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Should RFK Jr. be in the infobox? The latest poll of the race, by Deseret News, shows the following results for the candidates:

• Donald Trump: 49%
• Joe Biden: 20%
• Kennedy Jr: 20%
• Other/Undecided: 11%

Thanks! KlayCax (talk) 14:53, 25 June 2024 (UTC)[reply]

The current consensus seems to be to exclude him until there is consistent polling done in the state. But perhaps RFKJR polling so high in two Utah polls is a case of WP:IAR? Even if RFKJR polled at 0% in the next three polls, he would still be above the 5% threshold. Prcc27 (talk) 15:21, 25 June 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I don't think that's how polling works, if he'd polled 0% he'd be at 0%, no? A Socialist Trans Girl 10:35, 23 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

That’s how polling averages work. We should use polling averages— not just the most recent poll. But now that Biden dropped out, this makes things even messier, since Biden vs. Trump vs. RFKJR polling is now obsolete. Prcc27 (talk) 16:38, 25 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

From the polling that's available, he meets the inclusion criteria.XavierGreen (talk) 23:05, 25 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

There is no Harris vs. Kennedy vs. Trump polling, so we have no indication how he would do in the general election. The only polling we have is polling with hypothetical candidates that will not be the nominee. Prcc27 (talk) 23:11, 25 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]