2008 United States presidential election in Alaska: Difference between revisions

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{{Short description|Election in Alaska}}
{{Short description|Election in Alaska}}
{{Main|2008 United States presidential election}}
{{Main|2008 United States presidential election}}

{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2008 United States presidential election in Alaska
| election_name = 2008 United States presidential election in Alaska
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| percentage1 = '''59.42%'''
| percentage1 = '''59.42%'''
| image2 = Obama portrait crop.jpg
| image2 = Obama portrait crop.jpg
| nominee2 = [[Barack Obama]]
| nominee2 = [[Barack Obama]]
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| home_state2 = [[Illinois]]
| home_state2 = [[Illinois]]
| running_mate2 = [[Joe Biden]]
| running_mate2 = [[Joe Biden]]
| electoral_vote2 = 0
| electoral_vote2 = 0
| popular_vote2 = 123,594
| popular_vote2 = 123,594
| percentage2 = 37.89%
| percentage2 = 37.89%
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}}
}}
{{Elections in Alaska sidebar}}
{{Elections in Alaska sidebar}}

The '''2008 United States presidential election in Alaska''' took place on November 4, 2008, as part of the [[2008 United States presidential election|nationwide presidential election]] held throughout all 50 states and the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]]. Voters chose 3 electors, or representatives to the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]], who voted for [[President of the United States|president]] and [[Vice President of the United States|vice president]].
The '''2008 United States presidential election in Alaska''' took place on November 4, 2008, as part of the [[2008 United States presidential election|nationwide presidential election]] held throughout all 50 states and the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]]. Voters chose 3 electors, or representatives to the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]], who voted for [[President of the United States|president]] and [[Vice President of the United States|vice president]].


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*[[2008 Alaska Republican caucuses]]
*[[2008 Alaska Republican caucuses]]


==Campaign==
== Campaign ==
===Predictions===
=== Predictions ===
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:


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|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|The Takeaway<ref>{{Cite web|date=2009-04-22|title=Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions|url=http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/|access-date=2021-08-23|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/|archive-date=2009-04-22}}</ref>
|The Takeaway<ref>{{Cite web|date=2009-04-22|title=Vote 2008 The Takeaway Track the Electoral College vote predictions|url=http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/|access-date=2021-08-23|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/|archive-date=2009-04-22}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
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|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|Politico<ref>{{Cite web|title=POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com|url=http://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html|access-date=2016-09-22|website=www.politico.com}}</ref>
|Politico<ref>{{Cite web|title=POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map POLITICO.com|url=http://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html|access-date=2016-09-22|website=www.politico.com}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|RealClearPolitics<ref>{{cite web| url = http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5| url-status = dead| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5| archive-date = 2008-06-05| title = RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map}} </ref>
|RealClearPolitics<ref>{{Cite web| url = http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5| url-status = dead| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5| archive-date = 2008-06-05| title = RealClearPolitics Electoral Map}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
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|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|CQ Politics<ref>{{cite web|title=CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008|url=http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08|archive-date=June 14, 2009|access-date=December 20, 2009|website=CQ Politics}}</ref>
|CQ Politics<ref>{{Cite web|title=CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008|url=http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08|archive-date=June 14, 2009|access-date=December 20, 2009|website=CQ Politics}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|The New York Times<ref>{{cite news|last1=Nagourney|first1=Adam|last2=Zeleny|first2=Jeff|last3=Carter|first3=Shan|date=2008-11-04|title=The Electoral Map: Key States|work=The New York Times|url=http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&amp;sq=electoral%20college%20map&amp;st=cse|access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref>
|The New York Times<ref>{{Cite news|last1=Nagourney|first1=Adam|last2=Zeleny|first2=Jeff|last3=Carter|first3=Shan|date=2008-11-04|title=The Electoral Map: Key States|work=The New York Times|url=http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&amp;sq=electoral%20college%20map&amp;st=cse|access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|CNN<ref>{{cite news|date=2008-10-31|title=October &ndash; 2008 &ndash; CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs|work=CNN|url=http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/|access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref>
|CNN<ref>{{Cite news|date=2008-10-31|title=October 2008 CNN Political Ticker CNN.com Blogs|work=CNN|url=http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/|access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|-
|-
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|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}
|-
|-
|Fox News<ref>{{cite news|date=April 27, 2010|title=Winning The Electoral College|work=Fox News|url=http://www.foxnews.com/oreilly/winning-the-electoral-college/}}</ref>
|Fox News<ref>{{Cite news|date=April 27, 2010|title=Winning The Electoral College|work=Fox News|url=http://www.foxnews.com/oreilly/winning-the-electoral-college/}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}
|-
|-
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}
|-
|-
|Rasmussen Reports<ref>{{Cite web|title=Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™|url=http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update|access-date=2016-09-22|website=www.rasmussenreports.com}}</ref>
|Rasmussen Reports<ref>{{Cite web|title=Election 2008: Electoral College Update Rasmussen Reports™|url=http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update|access-date=2016-09-22|website=www.rasmussenreports.com}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}
|}
|}


===Polling===
=== Polling ===
{{main|Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Alaska|l1=Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Alaska}}
{{Main|Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Alaska|l1=Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Alaska}}


[[Opinion poll]]s consistently showed John McCain to be leading Barack Obama. From April until August they showed John McCain with a slim lead, with one poll taken in early August showing Obama five points ahead. However, from when [[Sarah Palin]] was announced as McCain's running mate on August 29, polls showed John McCain consistently ahead. [[RealClearPolitics]] gave the state an average of 55.8% for McCain, compared to 41.3% for Obama.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ak/alaska_mccain_vs_obama-640.html|title=Alaska: McCain vs. Obama|access-date=May 31, 2009|publisher=[[RealClearPolitics]]}}</ref>
[[Opinion poll]]s consistently showed John McCain to be leading Barack Obama. From April until August they showed John McCain with a slim lead, with one poll taken in early August showing Obama five points ahead. However, from when [[Sarah Palin]] was announced as McCain's running mate on August 29, polls showed John McCain consistently ahead. [[RealClearPolitics]] gave the state an average of 55.8% for McCain, compared to 41.3% for Obama.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ak/alaska_mccain_vs_obama-640.html|title=Alaska: McCain vs. Obama|access-date=May 31, 2009|publisher=[[RealClearPolitics]]}}</ref>


===Fundraising===
=== Fundraising ===
Barack Obama raised $977,438. John McCain raised $321,101.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=AK&cand_id=P00000001|title=Presidential Campaign Finance: AK Contributions to All Candidates by 3 digit Zip Code|access-date=May 31, 2009|publisher=[[Federal Election Commission]]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090324090021/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=AK&cand_id=P00000001|archive-date=March 24, 2009|url-status=dead}}</ref>
Barack Obama raised $977,438. John McCain raised $321,101.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=AK&cand_id=P00000001|title=Presidential Campaign Finance: AK Contributions to All Candidates by 3 digit Zip Code|access-date=May 31, 2009|publisher=[[Federal Election Commission]]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090324090021/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=AK&cand_id=P00000001|archive-date=March 24, 2009|url-status=dead}}</ref>


===Advertising and visits===
=== Advertising and visits ===
Obama spent $134,686. McCain and his interest groups spent just $1,836.<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/ad.spending/ | work=CNN | title=Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com | access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref> The Democratic ticket didn't visit the state. Alaskan native [[Sarah Palin]] campaigned just once in the state during the fall election.<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/candidate.visits/ | work=CNN | title=Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com | access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref>
Obama spent $134,686. McCain and his interest groups spent just $1,836.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/ad.spending/ | work=CNN | title=Map: Campaign Ad Spending Election Center 2008 from CNN.com | access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref> The Democratic ticket didn't visit the state. Alaskan native [[Sarah Palin]] campaigned just once in the state during the fall election.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/candidate.visits/ | work=CNN | title=Map: Campaign Candidate Visits Election Center 2008 from CNN.com | access-date=May 26, 2010}}</ref>


==Analysis==
== Analysis ==
At the time of the election, Alaska had a Republican [[List of governors of Alaska|Governor]] and [[List of lieutenant governors of Alaska|Lieutenant Governor]] ([[Sarah Palin]] and [[Sean Parnell]], respectively) and was represented in both the [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]] and the [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. House of Representatives]] solely by Republicans (U.S. Senator [[Ted Stevens]], who was [[2008 United States Senate election in Alaska|defeated for reelection in 2008]] by the former Democratic [[List of mayors of Anchorage, Alaska|Mayor of Anchorage]] [[Mark Begich]], and U.S. Senator [[Lisa Murkowski]], and U.S. Representative [[Don Young]]). At the time of the election, Republicans held a majority in the [[Alaska House of Representatives]] whereas a coalition of Democrats and moderate Republicans controlled the [[Alaska Senate]]. Furthermore, since [[Alaska Statehood Act|becoming a state]] in 1959, Alaska has voted for the Republican nominee in every presidential election with the exception of [[1964 United States presidential election in Alaska|1964]] when the Last Frontier voted for president [[Lyndon B. Johnson]] in his 44-state landslide.
At the time of the election, Alaska had a Republican [[List of governors of Alaska|Governor]] and [[List of lieutenant governors of Alaska|Lieutenant Governor]] ([[Sarah Palin]] and [[Sean Parnell]], respectively) and was represented in both the [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]] and the [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. House of Representatives]] solely by Republicans (U.S. Senator [[Ted Stevens]], who was [[2008 United States Senate election in Alaska|defeated for reelection in 2008]] by the former Democratic [[List of mayors of Anchorage, Alaska|Mayor of Anchorage]] [[Mark Begich]], and U.S. Senator [[Lisa Murkowski]], and U.S. Representative [[Don Young]]). At the time of the election, Republicans held a majority in the [[Alaska House of Representatives]] whereas a coalition of Democrats and moderate Republicans controlled the [[Alaska Senate]]. Furthermore, since [[Alaska Statehood Act|becoming a state]] in 1959, Alaska has voted for the Republican nominee in every presidential election with the exception of [[1964 United States presidential election in Alaska|1964]] when the Last Frontier voted for president [[Lyndon B. Johnson]] in his 44-state landslide.


Early in the campaign, Obama actually bought some advertising in Alaska, apparently thinking that [[Libertarian Party (United States)|Libertarian]] [[Bob Barr]] could hold down McCain's numbers; Alaska has a history of supporting third-party candidates.<ref>[[Chuck Todd|Todd, Chuck]]; and Gawiser, Sheldon. ''How Barack Obama Won.'' [[New York City]]: [[Vintage Books|Vintage]], 2009.</ref> Also, several polls in the early summer of 2008 showed the race within single digits (with one poll from Alaska pollster [[Hays Research]] showing Obama with a five-point lead).<ref>[http://www.pollster.com/polls/ak/08-ak-pres-ge-mvo.php Alaska polling data] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100118145303/http://www.pollster.com/polls/ak/08-ak-pres-ge-mvo.php |date=2010-01-18 }} from Pollster.com</ref>
Early in the campaign, Obama actually bought some advertising in Alaska, apparently thinking that [[Libertarian Party (United States)|Libertarian]] [[Bob Barr]] could hold down McCain's numbers; Alaska has a history of supporting third-party candidates.<ref>[[Chuck Todd|Todd, Chuck]]; and Gawiser, Sheldon. ''How Barack Obama Won.'' [[New York City]]: [[Vintage Books|Vintage]], 2009.</ref> Also, several polls in the early summer of 2008 showed the race within single digits (with one poll from Alaska pollster [[Hays Research]] showing Obama with a five-point lead).<ref>{{Cite web|title=Pollster|url=https://www.huffpost.com/news/topic/pollster|access-date=2022-11-16|website=HuffPost|language=en}}</ref>


While McCain would have been favored to win Alaska in any event, Palin's addition to the ticket ended any realistic chance of Obama carrying it. At the time, Palin was one of the most popular governors in the nation. At the same time, Representative Young was reelected to an 18th term by a narrow margin over Democrat [[Ethan Berkowitz]] in a highly contested U.S. House race—only the fifth time he had faced a close contest. Stevens, who was convicted earlier in the year on seven felony charges (though the conviction was subsequently vacated due to [[prosecutorial misconduct]]), was narrowly ousted by Begich. In the state legislature, Democrats picked up one seat in the State House and two members of the Coalition broke away and went back to their respective parties.
While McCain would have been favored to win Alaska in any event, Palin's addition to the ticket ended any realistic chance of Obama carrying it. At the time, Palin was one of the most popular governors in the nation. At the same time, Representative Young was reelected to an 18th term by a narrow margin over Democrat [[Ethan Berkowitz]] in a highly contested U.S. House race—only the fifth time he had faced a close contest. Stevens, who was convicted earlier in the year on seven felony charges (though the conviction was subsequently vacated due to [[prosecutorial misconduct]]), was narrowly ousted by Begich. In the state legislature, Democrats picked up one seat in the State House and two members of the Coalition broke away and went back to their respective parties.
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| colspan="1" align="right" | 66.03%
| colspan="1" align="right" | 66.03%
|-
|-
| colspan=7|<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/08GENR/data/results.htm |title=Official General Election Results |date=2008-12-03 |access-date=2012-09-28 |publisher=State of Alaska: Division of Elections}}</ref>
| colspan=7|<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/08GENR/data/results.htm |title=Official General Election Results |date=2008-12-03 |access-date=2012-09-28 |publisher=State of Alaska: Division of Elections}}</ref>
|}
|}


====Beareaus and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic====
=== Beareaus and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic ===
* [[Bethel Census Area, Alaska|Bethel Census Area]] (largest city: [[Bethel, Alaska|Bethel]])
* [[Bethel Census Area, Alaska|Bethel Census Area]] (largest city: [[Bethel, Alaska|Bethel]])
* [[Kusilvak Census Area, Alaska|Kusilvak Census Area]] (largest city: [[Hooper Bay, Alaska|Hooper Bay]])
* [[Kusilvak Census Area, Alaska|Kusilvak Census Area]] (largest city: [[Hooper Bay, Alaska|Hooper Bay]])
* [[Nome Census Area, Alaska|Nome Census Area]] (largest city: [[Nome, Alaska|Nome]]
* [[Nome Census Area, Alaska|Nome Census Area]] (largest city: [[Nome, Alaska|Nome]]


==Electors==
== Electors ==
Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors—representatives to the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]]. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 [[Alaska's at-large congressional district|congressional districts]] and 2 [[List of United States senators from Alaska|senators]]. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |title=Electoral College |access-date=2008-11-01 |publisher=[[California Secretary of State]] |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |archive-date=October 30, 2008 }}</ref> An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a [[faithless elector]].
Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors—representatives to the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]]. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 [[Alaska's at-large congressional district|congressional districts]] and 2 [[List of United States senators from Alaska|senators]]. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |title=Electoral College |access-date=2008-11-01 |publisher=[[California Secretary of State]] |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |archive-date=October 30, 2008 }}</ref> An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a [[faithless elector]].


The electors of each state and the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]] met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitals.
The electors of each state and the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]] met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitals.


The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged to [[John McCain]] and [[Sarah Palin]]:<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/Documents/ListOf2008ElectorsForPresident.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=November 7, 2008 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081106044614/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/Documents/ListOf2008ElectorsForPresident.pdf |archive-date=November 6, 2008 }}</ref>
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged to [[John McCain]] and [[Sarah Palin]]:<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/Documents/ListOf2008ElectorsForPresident.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=November 7, 2008 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081106044614/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/Documents/ListOf2008ElectorsForPresident.pdf |archive-date=November 6, 2008 }}</ref>
# Roy Burkhart
# Roy Burkhart
# Hope Nelson
# Hope Nelson
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== References ==
== References ==
{{reflist}}
{{Reflist}}


{{2008 United States elections}}
{{2008 United States elections}}

Revision as of 02:05, 16 November 2022

2008 United States presidential election in Alaska

← 2004 November 4, 2008 2012 →
 
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 193,841 123,594
Percentage 59.42% 37.89%

Borough & census area results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2008, as part of the nationwide presidential election held throughout all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Voters chose 3 electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Alaska was won by Republican nominee John McCain with a 21.53% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Democratic nominee Barack Obama did, however, perform better in 2008 than Democratic nominee John Kerry did in 2004. This is the first election in which it participated in which it failed to support the same candidate as Virginia and Indiana, and the only time in which it didn't do so for the latter.

The presence of popular Governor Sarah Palin on the ticket as the Republican Party's vice presidential nominee appeared to help. The McCain–Palin ticket received just a slightly smaller percentage of Alaskan votes than did Bush–Cheney in 2004 despite the nation's swinging Democratic by 4.66% (48.27% to 52.93%). Polls from April until August indeed showed John McCain with a slim lead, with one poll taken in early August even showing Obama five points ahead. However, from when Sarah Palin was announced as McCain's running mate on August 29, polls showed John McCain consistently ahead. RealClearPolitics gave the state an average of 55.8% for McCain, compared to 41.3% for Obama.

McCain's 193,841 votes is the most received by a presidential candidate in the state's history. This is also the most recent election in which Lake and Peninsula Borough, Northwest Arctic Borough, Aleutians West Census Area, Dillingham Census Area, and Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area voted for the Republican candidate.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Source Ranking
D.C. Political Report[1] Likely R
Cook Political Report[2] Solid R
The Takeaway[3] Solid R
Electoral-vote.com[4] Solid R
Washington Post[5] Solid R
Politico[6] Solid R
RealClearPolitics[7] Solid R
FiveThirtyEight[5] Solid R
CQ Politics[8] Solid R
The New York Times[9] Solid R
CNN[10] Safe R
NPR[5] Solid R
MSNBC[5] Solid R
Fox News[11] Likely R
Associated Press[12] Likely R
Rasmussen Reports[13] Safe R

Polling

Opinion polls consistently showed John McCain to be leading Barack Obama. From April until August they showed John McCain with a slim lead, with one poll taken in early August showing Obama five points ahead. However, from when Sarah Palin was announced as McCain's running mate on August 29, polls showed John McCain consistently ahead. RealClearPolitics gave the state an average of 55.8% for McCain, compared to 41.3% for Obama.[14]

Fundraising

Barack Obama raised $977,438. John McCain raised $321,101.[15]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $134,686. McCain and his interest groups spent just $1,836.[16] The Democratic ticket didn't visit the state. Alaskan native Sarah Palin campaigned just once in the state during the fall election.[17]

Analysis

At the time of the election, Alaska had a Republican Governor and Lieutenant Governor (Sarah Palin and Sean Parnell, respectively) and was represented in both the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives solely by Republicans (U.S. Senator Ted Stevens, who was defeated for reelection in 2008 by the former Democratic Mayor of Anchorage Mark Begich, and U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski, and U.S. Representative Don Young). At the time of the election, Republicans held a majority in the Alaska House of Representatives whereas a coalition of Democrats and moderate Republicans controlled the Alaska Senate. Furthermore, since becoming a state in 1959, Alaska has voted for the Republican nominee in every presidential election with the exception of 1964 when the Last Frontier voted for president Lyndon B. Johnson in his 44-state landslide.

Early in the campaign, Obama actually bought some advertising in Alaska, apparently thinking that Libertarian Bob Barr could hold down McCain's numbers; Alaska has a history of supporting third-party candidates.[18] Also, several polls in the early summer of 2008 showed the race within single digits (with one poll from Alaska pollster Hays Research showing Obama with a five-point lead).[19]

While McCain would have been favored to win Alaska in any event, Palin's addition to the ticket ended any realistic chance of Obama carrying it. At the time, Palin was one of the most popular governors in the nation. At the same time, Representative Young was reelected to an 18th term by a narrow margin over Democrat Ethan Berkowitz in a highly contested U.S. House race—only the fifth time he had faced a close contest. Stevens, who was convicted earlier in the year on seven felony charges (though the conviction was subsequently vacated due to prosecutorial misconduct), was narrowly ousted by Begich. In the state legislature, Democrats picked up one seat in the State House and two members of the Coalition broke away and went back to their respective parties.

Results

Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 193,841 59.42% 3
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 123,594 37.89% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 3,783 1.16% 0
Alaskan Independence Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 1,660 0.51% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 1,589 0.49% 0
Independent Write-in candidates 1,730 0.53% 0
Invalid or blank votes 1,144 0.35%
Totals 327,341 100.00% 3
Voter turnout 66.03%
[20]

Beareaus and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Electors

Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors—representatives to the Electoral College. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitals.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[22]

  1. Roy Burkhart
  2. Hope Nelson
  3. Robert Brodie

See also

References

  1. ^ "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". 2009-01-01. Archived from the original on 2009-01-01. Retrieved 2021-08-23.
  2. ^ "Presidential". 2015-05-05. Archived from the original on 2015-05-05. Retrieved 2021-08-23.
  3. ^ "Vote 2008 – The Takeaway – Track the Electoral College vote predictions". 2009-04-22. Archived from the original on 2009-04-22. Retrieved 2021-08-23.
  4. ^ "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily". electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 2021-08-23.
  5. ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
  6. ^ "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map – POLITICO.com". www.politico.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  7. ^ "RealClearPolitics – Electoral Map". Archived from the original on 2008-06-05.
  8. ^ "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on June 14, 2009. Retrieved December 20, 2009.
  9. ^ Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  10. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker – CNN.com Blogs". CNN. 2008-10-31. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  11. ^ "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  12. ^ "roadto270". hosted.ap.org. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  13. ^ "Election 2008: Electoral College Update – Rasmussen Reports™". www.rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  14. ^ "Alaska: McCain vs. Obama". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved May 31, 2009.
  15. ^ "Presidential Campaign Finance: AK Contributions to All Candidates by 3 digit Zip Code". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on March 24, 2009. Retrieved May 31, 2009.
  16. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending – Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  17. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits – Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  18. ^ Todd, Chuck; and Gawiser, Sheldon. How Barack Obama Won. New York City: Vintage, 2009.
  19. ^ "Pollster". HuffPost. Retrieved 2022-11-16.
  20. ^ "Official General Election Results". State of Alaska: Division of Elections. 2008-12-03. Retrieved 2012-09-28.
  21. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
  22. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 6, 2008. Retrieved November 7, 2008.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)