Electorate opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election

Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling before the 2025 federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the Australian House of Representatives.

Australian Capital Territory

Bean

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	38.1%	29.1%	15.7%	11.9%	4%	1.3%	59.5%	40.5%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36%	32.9%	12.9%	11%	6.2%	1%	55.2%	44.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	38%	33%	21%	—	—	8%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			41.7%	29.7%	14.8%	8.2%	2.7%	2.9%	63%	37%

Canberra

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	GRN
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	39.9%	25.1%	21.3%	9.9%	2.6%	1.2%	59.8%	40.2%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.4%	24.6%	21.4%	8%	3.7%	0.8%	64.3%	35.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	26%	19%	—	—	7%	67%	33%
21 May 2022	Election			44.9%	24.7%	21.8%	5.2%	1.7%	1.8%	62.2%	37.8%

Fenner

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	40.5%	28.7%	18.5%	5.6%	4.6%	2.1%	61.1%	38.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.2%	30%	15.1%	6.2%	5.3%	1.1%	59.8%	40.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	37%	31%	16%	—	—	16%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			48.3%	27.8%	16.8%	2.7%	—	4.4%	65.7%	34.3%

New South Wales

Banks

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	42.2%	32.2%	10.7%	6.2%	4.8%	3.9%	52.5%	47.5%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	44.4%	29.9%	10.5%	6.3%	6.7%	2.1%	54.8%	45.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	49%	32%	7%	—	—	12%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			45.2%	35.3%	8.8%	2.9%	1%	6.9%	53.2%	46.8%

Barton

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	38.9%	32.3%	13.5%	8.1%	3.9%	3.2%	56.3%	43.7%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.5%	33.8%	13.2%	6.8%	5.8%	1.9%	55.4%	44.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	33%	14%	—	—	13%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			50.4%	26.2%	12.5%	4.8%	—	6.1%	65.5%	34.5%

Bennelong

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	40.7%	31%	12.8%	4.4%	5.2%	5.8%	48.6%	51.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.8%	29.4%	11.2%	6.3%	5.9%	3.4%	45.4%	54.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	33%	13%	—	—	8%	46%	54%
21 May 2022	Election			41.4%	37.7%	11.4%	1.7%	—	7.8%	51%	49%

Berowra

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	44.1%	23.8%	14.8%	4.8%	8.4%	4%	55.8%	44.2%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	48.4%	24%	12.6%	4.9%	8.4%	1.6%	58.7%	41.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	49%	29%	10%	—	—	13%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			49.1%	22.2%	15.6%	3.2%	2.9%	7%	59.8%	40.2%

Blaxland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	39.1%	30.5%	12%	10.1%	3.8%	4.5%	56.5%	43.5%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.1%	29.9%	14.2%	8.1%	5.8%	2.9%	57.7%	42.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	35%	10%	—	—	13%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	Election			55%	27%	6.4%	5.4%	—	6.3%	64.9%	35.1%

Bradfield

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	IND
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	39.4%	27.7%	20.4%	8.8%	3.1%	0.7%	50.1%	49.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.7%	23.9%	19.7%	10.1%	4.1%	0.5%	51.9%	48.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	32%	16%	6%	—	—	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			45.1%	24%	17.5%	9.3%	1.6%	2.6%	54.2%	45.8%

Calare

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	IND	ALP	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	IND
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	42.2%	21%	16%	13.3%	6.7%	0.8%	56.2%	43.8%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	46.2%	18.1%	15.1%	13%	6.8%	0.7%	59.7%	40.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	53%	18%	23%	—	6%	—	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			47.7%	20.4%	15.1%	8.4%	4.6%	3.8%	59.7%	40.3%

Chifley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	41.3%	29.3%	9.8%	11.4%	4.9%	3.3%	58.2%	41.8%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.5%	27.8%	10.2%	9.9%	6.5%	2%	59.4%	40.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	34%	—	9%	—	16%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	Election			52.7%	24.7%	6.2%	5.8%	1.9%	8.7%	63.5%	36.5%

Cook

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP	GRN
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	49.4%	25.1%	10.1%	8.2%	4.2%	2.9%	60.2%	39.8%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	52.5%	23.9%	8.4%	8.2%	5.7%	1.4%	62.9%	37.1%	—
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	55%	25%	6%	—	—	14%	63%	37%	—
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	57%	25%	6%	—	—	12%	64%	36%	—
13 April 2024	By-election			62.7%	—	16.5%	—	5.7%	15.2%	71.3%	—	28.8%
28 March 2024	uComms^[a]	914	± 3.6%	45.4%	—	12.4%	—	6.1%	11.7%	65%	—	35%
21 May 2022	Election			55.3%	25%	9.9%	5.1%	—	4.5%	62.4%	37.6%	—

Cowper

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	IND	ALP	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	IND
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	35.6%	29.8%	15.3%	11.1%	7.5%	0.7%	48.4%	51.6%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.1%	25.1%	16.8%	12.8%	7.2%	1.1%	50.9%	49.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	26%	26%	—	5%	—	52%	48%
21 May 2022	Election			39.5%	26.3%	14%	8.1%	5.9%	6.3%	52.3%	47.7%

Cunningham

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	37.2%	27.3%	19.7%	7.3%	5.1%	3.3%	60%	40%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.5%	29.4%	17.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.8%	58.4%	41.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	28%	16%	—	—	12%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	Election			40.1%	25%	21.7%	5.1%	—	8.1%	64.7%	35.3%

Dobell

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	35.6%	34.7%	10.9%	11.8%	4.5%	2.7%	52.1%	47.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.6%	34.7%	9%	13.4%	6.4%	2%	50.7%	49.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	38%	7%	—	—	14%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	Election			42.9%	33.7%	8.6%	7.5%	—	7.4%	56.5%	43.5%

Eden-Monaro

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	32.6%	35.8%	10.8%	9%	7%	4.6%	50.7%	49.3%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	30.4%	37%	9.8%	10.6%	8.9%	3.3%	48.4%	51.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	39%	37%	7%	—	—	17%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	Election			42.6%	33%	9.2%	4.3%	2%	8.9%	58.2%	41.8%

Farrer

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	48.5%	18.9%	9.5%	13.1%	7.2%	2.8%	63.6%	36.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	49.5%	19.5%	9%	10.5%	9.2%	2.2%	63.5%	36.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	17%	9%	—	—	27%	65%	35%
21 May 2022	Election			52.3%	19%	9.1%	6.3%	3.2%	10.2%	66.4%	33.7%

Fowler

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	IND	LIB	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	31.6%	26.9%	23.1%	9.7%	7.3%	1.5%	52.7%	47.3%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	32.1%	22%	26.9%	11.9%	5.4%	1.6%	—	55.8%	44.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	22%	47%	23%	7%	—	—	66%	34%	—
21 May 2022	Election			36.1%	29.5%	17.2%	4.9%	3.6%	8.9%	51.6%	48.4%	—

Gilmore

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	38.8%	31.7%	10.6%	9.8%	8%	1.1%	49.1%	50.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.6%	29.3%	9.5%	12.1%	8.3%	1.3%	47.2%	52.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	32%	6%	—	—	17%	45%	55%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	44%	29%	9%	—	—	18%	44%	56%
21 May 2022	Election			42%	36%	10.2%	4.2%	4%	3.6%	50.2%	49.8%

Grayndler

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	GRN
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	44.5%	23.4%	19.1%	6.5%	3.9%	2.6%	63%	37%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	46.9%	21.7%	19.4%	5.8%	4.7%	1.5%	63.8%	36.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	21%	25%	—	—	6%	66%	34%
21 May 2022	Election			53.6%	22%	16%	2.1%	1.5%	4.7%	67.1%	33%

Greenway

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.9%	37%	10.6%	7.4%	8.3%	1.9%	51.4%	48.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	41%	8%	—	—	11%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	Election			48.3%	29.8%	7.1%	2.7%	1.6%	10.6%	61.5%	38.5%

Hughes

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	42.8%	22.3%	11.8%	7.7%	12.8%	2.7%	59.1%	40.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.3%	24.5%	15.4%	8.9%	7.4%	1.4%	56.3%	43.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	31%	—	10%	—	16%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			43.5%	22.5%	17.5%	6.3%	2.7%	7.4%	57%	43%

Hume

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	46.7%	20.2%	11.8%	11.6%	8.2%	1.6%	61.9%	38.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	24%	—	—	5%	23%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			43.1%	19.9%	16.4%	7.4%	5%	8.3%	57.7%	42.3%

Hunter

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	NAT	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	NAT
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	33.2%	30.8%	16.2%	10.2%	7.3%	2.2%	52.2%	47.8%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	30.6%	33.5%	15.3%	8.7%	9.7%	2.2%	49.1%	50.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	31%	30%	—	9%	—	30%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	Election			38.5%	27.4%	10%	8.9%	7.5%	7.7%	54%	46%

Kingsford Smith

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	41.5%	29.9%	16%	5.4%	5.1%	2%	60.1%	39.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.8%	31.8%	15.6%	5.4%	5.9%	1.4%	58.1%	41.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	35%	16%	—	—	9%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			47.9%	28.7%	16.8%	3.1%	—	3.5%	64.5%	35.5%

Lindsay

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	43.2%	28.8%	10.3%	9.6%	4.8%	3.2%	55.4%	44.6%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.3%	28.5%	9.5%	11.9%	5.1%	1.7%	56.4%	43.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	29%	7%	—	—	16%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			46.7%	31.7%	8%	5.9%	—	7.6%	56.3%	43.7%

Lyne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	41.1%	20.9%	14%	8.3%	12.9%	2.8%	58.9%	41.1%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	44.7%	20.2%	12%	7.9%	12.5%	2.7%	61%	39%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	22%	—	8%	—	30%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	Election			43.5%	21.5%	7.9%	7.9%	10.5%	8.8%	63.8%	36.2%

Macarthur

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	35%	33.4%	12.2%	11.6%	4.8%	3%	52.6%	47.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.6%	33.1%	12.8%	9.9%	4.9%	1.7%	53.2%	46.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	32%	41%	—	12%	—	15%	48%	52%
21 May 2022	Election			45.9%	30.5%	8%	7.7%	—	7.9%	58.5%	41.5%

Mackellar

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	39.7%	34%	14.2%	8.1%	3.5%	0.5%	51.6%	48.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.7%	34.5%	13.6%	8.9%	4.8%	0.4%	53.8%	46.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	—	13%	3%	—	40%	49%	51%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	43%	—	11%	7%	—	39%	53%	47%
5 February 2024	uComms^[a]	602	±3.85%	35.3%	30.4%	13.2%	5.8%	—	4.5%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	Election			41.4%	38.1%	8.3%	6.1%	2.7%	3.5%	52.5%	47.5%

Macquarie

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	32.7%	36.5%	12.7%	10.1%	5.7%	2.6%	50.6%	49.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.3%	37.2%	9.5%	10.9%	6.3%	1.8%	49.9%	50.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	35%	39%	8%	—	—	18%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	Election			43%	34.6%	9.6%	5.2%	—	7.7%	57.8%	42.2%

McMahon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	37.8%	33.6%	9.6%	8.3%	5.2%	5.5%	54%	46%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.7%	34.1%	9.4%	8.6%	6.6%	3.6%	53.5%	46.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	36%	11%	—	—	12%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			48%	28.3%	5.8%	5.4%	—	12.4%	59.5%	40.5%

Mitchell

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	50.1%	23.9%	12.8%	5.3%	3.6%	4.3%	60%	40%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	53.3%	23.5%	10.8%	4.9%	5.9%	1.6%	62.1%	37.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	56%	25%	10%	—	—	9%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	Election			52.6%	25.5%	11.8%	3%	—	7.1%	60.7%	39.3%

New England

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	46%	19.7%	11%	8.5%	13.1%	1.7%	61.9%	38.1%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	46.9%	18.4%	13.9%	9%	10.3%	1.4%	62.2%	37.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	19%	—	8%	—	27%	64%	36%
21 May 2022	Election			52.5%	18.6%	10.7%	7.7%	4.7%	5.9%	66.4%	33.6%

Newcastle

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	38.2%	25.8%	19.8%	8.1%	5.3%	2.9%	61.2%	38.8%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.1%	26.7%	17.1%	8.4%	5.1%	1.6%	61.1%	38.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	26%	19%	—	—	11%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	Election			44.1%	24.4%	20.1%	4.5%	—	6.9%	68%	32%

Page

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	41.9%	20.7%	14.5%	9.7%	10.7%	2.5%	58.2%	41.8%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.1%	18.1%	16.2%	10.2%	10.1%	2.4%	59.4%	40.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	22%	—	10%	—	24%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			45.6%	18.7%	13.1%	8.5%	5.4%	8.7%	60.7%	39.3%

Parkes

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	46.5%	18.5%	16.2%	7%	6.4%	5.3%	64.3%	35.7%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	47.5%	19.4%	15.3%	7.1%	7.3%	3.5%	64.3%	35.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	19%	—	5%	—	33%	67%	33%
21 May 2022	Election			49.3%	20.2%	7.5%	4.7%	2.5%	15.8%	67.8%	32.2%

Parramatta

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	35.8	37.3%	12.6%	5.1%	5.8%	3.5%	52.6%	47.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34%	38.1%	12.5%	5.2%	8.1%	2.1%	51.3%	48.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	36%	14%	—	—	10%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	Election			40.7%	35%	9%	2.4%	—	13%	54.6%	45.4%

Paterson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	36%	37.2%	11.8%	9.3%	3.9%	1.9%	50.6%	49.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	31.3%	38.9%	14.1%	7.4%	6.8%	2.5%	46.4%	53.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	34%	45%	—	14%	—	7%	46%	54%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	32%	42%	—	9%	—	17%	46%	54%
21 May 2022	Election			40.7%	36.7%	8.2%	7.6%	—	6.9%	53.3%	46.7%

Reid

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	34.3%	38.5%	12.9%	5.8%	5.7%	2.7%	51.3%	48.7%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.8%	38.3%	11.8%	8%	5.1%	1.8%	51.5%	48.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	44%	7%	—	—	9%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	Election			41.6%	37.9%	9.4%	3.1%	2%	6%	55.2%	44.8%

Richmond

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	NAT	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	NAT
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	26.1%	19.4%	28.4%	9.4%	10.4%	6.3%	53.7%	46.3%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	25.4%	22.7%	31.3%	9.2%	5.6%	5.7%	53.4%	46.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	36%	21%	27%	—	—	17%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			28.8%	25.3%	23.4%	5.6%	4.1%	12.9%	58.2%	41.8%

Riverina

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	42.6%	20.9%	16.8%	8.6%	6.2%	4.9%	60.8%	39.2%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	44.6%	21.6%	13.4%	8.5%	7.2%	4.7%	60.8%	39.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	23%	—	10%	—	26%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			46.6%	20.5%	8.2%	6.4%	—	15.6%	64.9%	35.2%

Robertson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	38.4%	32.5%	11.8%	7.5%	7.1%	2.6%	50.1%	49.9%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.6%	32.2%	9.4%	9.1%	7.9%	1.9%	48.1%	51.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	33%	10%	—	—	12%	47%	53%
21 May 2022	Election			40%	37.7%	10%	3.8%	—	8.5%	52.3%	47.7%

Shortland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	34.6%	34%	12%	8.8%	7.4%	3.2%	53%	47%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	33.2%	35.8%	8.9%	10.8%	8.3%	3%	50%	50%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	41%	7%	—	—	11%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	Election			40%	32.1%	9.9%	6.4%	2.6%	9.1%	55.8%	44.2%

Sydney

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	GRN
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	44.5%	23.9%	20.2%	4.9%	4.2%	2.4%	63.3%	36.7%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	46.3%	24.3%	19.5%	4.8%	3.8%	1.3%	62.6%	37.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	23%	21%	—	—	12%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	Election			50.8%	23%	19.7%	1.8%	—	4.7%	66.7%	33.3%

Wentworth

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	OTH	UND	IND	LIB
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217	—	35%	29.3%	20.7%	12%	2.9%	—	53.6%	46.4%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	40%	—	17%	9%	33%	—	55%	45%
5 February 2024	uComms^[a]	643	±3.85%	35.5%	32.1%	13.1%	10.0%	2.9%	6.3%	57.0%	43.0%
21 May 2022	Election			40.5%	35.8%	10.7%	8.3%	4.6%	—	54.2%	45.8%

Northern Territory

Lingiari

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	CLP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	CLP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217		35.2%	32.1%	14.2%	9.9%	6%	2.5%	54.6%	45.4%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.5%	28.7%	14.3%	10.3%	6.6%	2.7%	57.2%	42.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	33%	38%	9%	—	—	21%	46%	54%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	30%	36%	12%	—	—	22%	47%	53%
21 May 2022	Election			36.6%	34.7%	11.0%	5.4%	3.0%	9.4%	51.0%	49.0%

Solomon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	CLP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	CLP
27 Februrary - 26 March 2025	YouGov^[1]	10217		34.2%	29.9%	15.1%	7.6%	5.1%	8.1%	55.7%	44.3%
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	32.3%	32.8%	15.6%	8.9%	4.8%	5.6%	53%	47%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	29%	14%	—	—	12%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			39.5%	25%	14.8%	5.4%	—	15.4%	59.4%	40.6%

Queensland

Blair

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	32.7%	32.9%	11.7%	15.8%	4.5%	2.5%	50.8%	49.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	34%	28%	15%	—	—	23%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	Election			35%	28.9%	12.6%	10%	—	13.5%	55.2%	44.8%

Bonner

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.8%	28.3%	14.4%	7.3%	5.4%	0.9%	54.4%	45.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	32%	12%	—	—	9%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			44.8%	29.6%	16.8%	5.6%	—	3.3%	53.4%	46.6%

Bowman

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.5%	25.1%	10.8%	10.7%	6.1%	1.9%	58.5%	41.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	52%	30%	11%	—	—	8%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			42.4%	29.2%	13%	7.7%	—	7.6%	55.5%	44.5%

Brisbane

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	GRN	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35.7%	30%	23.7%	4.3%	4.4%	1.9%	—	46.3%	53.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	37%	25%	31%	—	—	7%	55%	45%	—
21 May 2022	Election			37.7%	27.3%	27.2%	2.2%	—	5.6%	53.7%	46.3%	—

Capricornia

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.2%	25.6%	20.6%	6.2%	5.3%	1.1%	59.4%	40.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	26%	5%	—	—	23%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			39.4%	28.1%	14.6%	5.9%	3.4%	8.7%	56.6%	43.4%

Dawson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.3%	23.6%	18.3%	6.9%	3.8%	2.2%	61.9%	38.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	52%	24%	8%	—	—	16%	64%	36%
21 May 2022	Election			43.3%	24.5%	13.3%	7.2%	—	11.7%	60.4%	39.6%

Dickson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.3%	28.2%	12.3%	8.8%	8.2%	1.2%	53.9%	46.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	33%	6%	—	—	12%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	Election			42.1%	31.7%	13%	5.4%	3.9%	4%	51.7%	48.3%

Fadden

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	47.2%	21.8%	10.6%	11.5%	6.6%	2.2%	61.1%	38.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	25%	10%	—	—	19%	59%	41%
15 July 2023	By-election			49.1%	22.1%	6.2%	8.9%	2.7%	11.1%	63.4%	36.7%
21 May 2022	Election			44.6%	22.4%	10.7%	8.7%	4.2%	9.5%	60.6%	39.4%

Fairfax

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.3%	21.2%	12.8%	11.2%	7.3%	2.2%	59.8%	40.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	22%	9%	—	—	24%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			44.9%	21.9%	13.4%	6.6%	2.1%	11.2%	59%	41.1%

Fisher

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.2%	23.3%	12%	12%	5.7%	1.9%	59.2%	40.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	49%	25%	8%	—	—	17%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	Election			44.3%	23.3%	13.8%	9.3%	—	9.3%	58.7%	41.3%

Flynn

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.2%	27.3%	19.2%	6.6%	6.6%	2.1%	56.5%	43.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	32%	5%	—	—	18%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			36.9%	33.5%	12.2%	4.3%	4.1%	9%	53.8%	46.2%

Forde

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.9%	26%	13.3%	12%	6.3%	3.3%	54.8%	45.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	37%	26%	16%	—	—	21%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			36.9%	28%	9.9%	8%	3.1%	14.1%	54.2%	45.8%

Griffith

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	GRN	LNP	ALP	ONP	IND	OTH	GRN	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	30.7%	29.3%	31.9%	3.5%	3.6%	1%	47.1%	—	52.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	34%	29%	26%	—	—	10%	59%	41%	—
21 May 2022	Election			34.6%	30.7%	28.9%	3.3%	—	2.4%	60.5%	39.5%	—

Groom

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	LNP	IND	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.3%	18.2%	13.6%	14.4%	7.3%	1.2%	62.9%	—	37.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	24%	—	—	7%	24%	55%	45%	—
21 May 2022	Election			43.7%	18.7%	15.4%	9.6%	5.85%	6.7%	56.9%	43.1%	—

Herbert

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.2%	21.1%	9.8%	11.8%	7.8%	4.3%	60.7%	39.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	49%	23%	9%	—	—	19%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	Election			47%	21.6%	8.2%	5.3%	4.3%	13.7%	61.8%	38.2%

Hinkler

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.2%	20.2%	15.8%	13.4%	6.1%	1.4%	60.7%	39.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	49%	29%	—	—	7%	15%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			42.1%	23.3%	13.1%	8.7%	5.5%	7.3%	60.1%	39.9%

Kennedy

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	KAP	LNP	ALP	GRN	IND	OTH	KAP	LNP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.9%	33%	14.3%	7.7%	2.9%	3.3%	60.7%	39.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	—	27%	19%	8%	—	45%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			41.7%	28.2%	16.1%	6.4%	3.2%	4.4%	63.1%	36.9%

Leichhardt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.5%	27.5%	12.2%	13.5%	5.6%	3.6%	53.5%	46.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	30%	9%	—	—	20%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	Election			36.7%	27.6%	10%	7.4%	—	18.3%	53.4%	46.6%

Lilley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.8%	32.6%	15.2%	7.5%	6%	1.9%	55.7%	44.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	34%	17%	—	—	5%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			41.8%	29.8%	17.1%	4.1%	—	7.2%	60.5%	39.5%

Longman

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.9%	26.6%	14.6%	8.6%	6%	4.4%	56.3%	43.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	31%	—	10%	—	16%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			38.2%	31.5%	8.3%	7.2%	—	14.9%	53.1%	46.9%

Maranoa

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP	ONP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	51.8%	16.9%	18.3%	5.9%	4.8%	2.2%	72%	—	28%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	54%	14%	—	4%	—	29%	73%	27%	—
21 May 2022	Election			56.3%	15.3%	11.9%	4.9%	—	11.7%	72.1%	27.9%	—

McPherson

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	44.9%	22.8%	14.1%	10.3%	5.3%	2.7%	58.4%	41.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	27%	7%	—	—	18%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			43.6%	22%	15.4%	7.2%	—	11.8%	59.3%	40.7%

Moncrieff

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	45.7%	22.6%	12.6%	10.7%	5.3%	3.1%	59.4%	40.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	22%	11%	—	—	18%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			45.9%	20.8%	12.1%	7.1%	—	14.1%	61.2%	38.8%

Moreton

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.1%	35.1%	18.5%	5.6%	5.3%	1.4%	54.3%	45.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	36%	16%	—	—	5%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			37.4%	33.3%	20.8%	3.6%	—	4.9%	59.1%	40.9%

Oxley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.1%	31.5%	14.2%	9.1%	5.7%	1.5%	56.2%	43.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	29%	17%	—	—	13%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			45.9%	28.7%	14.3%	5.8%	—	5.3%	61.6%	38.4%

Petrie

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.3%	28.6%	11.4%	10%	6.5%	2.1%	54.3%	45.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	33%	9%	—	—	11%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			43.5%	30%	11.4%	5.3%	—	9.8%	54.4%	45.6%

Rankin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LNP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LNP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37%	31.6%	12.4%	12%	5%	2.1%	54.5%	45.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	31%	16%	—	—	11%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			44%	29%	10.7%	8%	—	8.4%	59.1%	40.9%

Ryan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	GRN	ALP	ONP	IND	OTH	GRN	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.1%	26.1%	27.1%	3.9%	4.1%	1.8%	—	47.6%	52.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	37%	33%	21%	—	—	8%	54%	46%	—
21 May 2022	Election			38.5%	30.2%	22.3%	2.3%	—	6.8%	52.7%	47.4%	—

Wide Bay

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.8%	20.2%	13.6%	9.3%	11.2%	1.9%	60.6%	39.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	49%	24%	—	7%	—	20%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	Election			43.5%	21.3%	10.2%	9.5%	7.2%	8.4%	61.3%	38.7%

Wright

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LNP	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	LNP	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	46.3%	20.7%	18%	9.6%	3.6%	1.8%	63.2%	36.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	21%	—	7%	—	26%	64%	36%
21 May 2022	Election			43.2%	21.4%	14.3%	11.4%	—	9.8%	60.9%	39.1%

South Australia

Adelaide

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	33.7%	32.8%	19.9%	5.7%	6.4%	1.6%	55.7%	44.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	32%	14%	—	—	8%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			40%	32%	20.1%	3%	—	4.9%	61.9%	38.1%

Barker

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	NAT	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	49.5%	19.3%	8%	11.9%	9.9%	—	1.4%	64.1%	35.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	15%	5%	—	—	—	33%	68%	32%
21 May 2022	Election			53.2%	20.9%	7.4%	6.6%	4.8%	2.4%	4.7%	66.6%	33.4%

Boothby

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38%	28.9%	13.2%	13.2%	5.6%	1.2%	50.6%	49.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	37%	14%	—	—	8%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			38%	32.3%	15.2%	7.5%	2%	5%	53.3%	46.7%

Grey

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.9%	19.1%	15.1%	9.4%	10.6%	2.9%	59.6%	40.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	20%	—	8%	—	26%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			45.3%	21.4%	12.5%	6.8%	6.3%	7.7%	60.1%	39.9%

Hindmarsh

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.3%	35.6%	13.2%	7.7%	7%	2.3%	52.4%	47.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	39%	37%	14%	—	—	10%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			42.2%	32.7%	13.9%	3.9%	—	7.3%	59%	41.1%

Kingston

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.8%	28.8%	13%	10.4%	9.1%	2%	56.7%	43.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	33%	12%	—	—	11%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			49.2%	25.9%	12.4%	4.9%	2.71%	4.9%	66.4%	33.7%

Makin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.1%	33.8%	11.4%	9.5%	7.1%	2%	53.4%	46.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	33%	10%	—	—	15%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			46.3%	31.4%	11.4%	4.7%	—	6.1%	60.8%	39.2%

Mayo

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	CA	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	CA	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	31.5%	30.5%	17.2%	11.7%	7.2%	1.9%	53.4%	46.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	—	29%	20%	9%	—	42%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			31.4%	27%	18.1%	11.8%	4.1%	7.6%	62.3%	37.7%

Spence

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.6%	28.4%	12.3%	16.4%	4.5%	1.8%	55.1%	44.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	36%	29%	16%	—	—	19%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			62.9%	25.6%	11.4%	10.9%	—	8.4%	62.9%	37.1%

Sturt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.7%	28.6%	14.7%	5.2%	7.2%	1.6%	59.6%	40.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	33%	14%	—	—	11%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	Election			43.1%	30.7%	16.4%	2.6%	—	7.2%	50.5%	49.6%

Tasmania

Bass

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.8%	27.8%	12.3%	9.9%	11.2%	11.9%	52.1%	47.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	27%	12%	—	—	17%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	Election			39.7%	28.6%	11.1%	5%	4.7%	10.8%	51.4%	48.6%

Braddon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.6%	22.1%	12.9%	8.9%	11.1%	16.3%	58.1%	41.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	22%	—	7%	—	25%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			44.1%	22.5%	7.8%	6.7%	4.3%	14.5%	58%	42%

Clark

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	IND	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	40.1%	22.8%	17.9%	15.4%	3.3%	0.4%	56%	44%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	—	27%	10%	13%	—	51%	68%	32%
21 May 2022	Election			45.5%	18.8%	15.9%	13.5%	2.6%	3.8%	70.8%	29.2%

Franklin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.1%	30.7%	14.5%	8.2%	6.4%	4.1%	56%	44%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	31%	18%	—	—	9%	63%	37%
21 May 2022	Election			36.7%	26.7%	17.4%	2.9%	—	16.4%	63.7%	36.3%

Lyons

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.1%	26.5%	10.8%	12.5%	6.8%	5.3%	45.6%	54.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	26%	9%	—	—	24%	46%	54%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	41%	25%	9%	—	—	24%	46%	54%
21 May 2022	Election			37.2%	29.0%	11.4%	5.4%	—	17%	50.9%	49.1%

Victoria

Aston

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.5%	29%	12.8%	7%	6.8%	1.9%	53.7%	46.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	33%	11%	—	—	9%	54%	46%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	47%	30%	11%	—	—	11%	56%	44%
1 April 2023	By-election			39.1%	40.9%	10.1%	—	7.0%	2.9%	46.4%	53.6%
21 May 2022	Election			43.1%	32.6%	12.1%	3.1%	—	9.2%	52.8%	47.2%

Ballarat

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35%	29.2%	15.5%	9.3%	8.2%	2.8%	56.4%	43.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	35%	7%	—	—	13%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	Election			44.7%	27.1%	14.6%	3.6%	2.1%	7.9%	63%	37%

Bendigo

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.3%	30.1%	13.2%	10.5%	9.3%	2.6%	54.8%	45.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	34%	12%	—	—	14%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			43%	26.6%	14.1%	5.5%	4.3%	6.5%	62.1%	37.9%

Bruce

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.1%	35.2%	11.9%	8.9%	5.4%	4.6%	51.7%	48.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	39%	38%	10%	—	—	12%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	Election			41.5%	30.3%	9.7%	4.8%	—	13.8%	56.6%	43.4%

Calwell

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.7%	27.2%	15.1%	11.2%	3.8%	5.1%	57.9%	42.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	31%	12%	—	—	17%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			44.9%	23.7%	9.7%	7%	—	14.7%	62.4%	37.6%

Casey

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.2%	22.7%	14.9%	12.5%	7.6%	3.2%	54.2%	45.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	39%	28%	14%	—	—	19%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	Election			36.5%	24.9%	12.9%	8.3%	3.3%	14.1%	51.5%	48.5%

Chisholm

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	29.9%	41.8%	13.4%	8.8%	4%	2.1%	48%	52%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	33%	41%	13%	—	—	12%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	Election			40.1%	36.3%	12.6%	2.4%	1.4%	7.2%	56.4%	43.6%

Cooper

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	GRN
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.2%	26.9%	21.8%	4.8%	4.6%	2.7%	57.7%	42.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	25%	23%	—	—	9%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	Election			41.3%	27.4%	16.4%	3%	—	12%	58.7%	41.3%

Corangamite

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.2%	35.7%	13.4%	7.5%	6.6%	2.6%	52.4%	47.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	34%	38%	10%	—	—	18%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	Election			38.2%	34.1%	15.2%	2.5%	—	9.9%	57.6%	42.4%

Corio

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.9%	29.2%	14.5%	9.2%	6.2%	4.1%	56.9%	43.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	23%	25%	—	—	9%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			42.1%	24.6%	14.9%	3.9%	—	14.5%	62.8%	37.2%

Deakin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	40.5%	30.3%	13.8%	5.8%	8%	1.7%	51.5%	48.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	33%	10%	—	—	11%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			41.5%	32.8%	13.9%	2.3%	1.3%	8.3%	50.2%	49.8%

Dunkley

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35.1%	32.1%	11.9%	6.5%	10.1%	4.2%	53.6%	46.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	37%	37%	10%	—	—	15%	52%	48%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	38%	36%	9%	—	—	18%	53%	47%
2 March 2024	By-election			41.1%	39.2%	6.4%	4.7%	—	8.6%	52.7%	47.3%
15–22 February 2024	YouGov^[5]	394	± 6.1%	33%	40%	9%	7%	—	11%	49%	51%
5–6 February 2024	uComms^[a]	626	± 3.9%	40.1%	39.3%	8.2%	—	—	12.4%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	Election			40.2%	32.5%	10.3%	3.9%	2.8%	10.3%	56.3%	43.7%

Flinders

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.2%	21.6%	15.3%	10.2%	7%	2.8%	57.7%	42.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	25%	—	8%	—	19%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			43.5%	21.7%	12.5%	9.4%	3.4%	9.5%	56.7%	43.3%

Fraser

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.2%	27%	19.7%	5.5%	5.6%	3%	61.3%	38.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	37%	28%	23%	—	—	12%	64%	36%
21 May 2022	Election			42.1%	24.7%	18.5%	2.9%	—	11.8%	66.5%	33.5%

Gellibrand

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.4%	30.3%	17.4%	6.9%	5%	3%	57.8%	42.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	38%	31%	11%	—	—	20%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			42.7%	27%	16.5%	3%	—	10.7%	61.5%	38.5%

Gippsland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	ONP	GRN	IND	OTH	NAT	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	49.2%	20.8%	14.6%	7.8%	6.4%	1.2%	64.1%	35.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	45%	14%	—	7%	—	34%	74%	26%
21 May 2022	Election			54.1%	19.2%	9.4%	8.5%	—	8.8%	70.6%	29.4%

Goldstein

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.8%	32.6%	17%	9.7%	3.1%	0.7%	54.3%	45.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	—	11%	7%	—	37%	52%	48%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	49%	—	17%	6%	—	29%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			40.4%	34.5%	11%	7.8%	1.3%	5%	52.9%	47.1%

Gorton

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	34.6%	35.8%	11.5%	9.7%	5.8%	2.7%	51.5%	48.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	33%	10%	—	—	17%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			41.3%	27.4%	9%	7.3%	2.5%	12.5%	60%	40%

Hawke

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	30.8%	32.2%	11.8%	9.1%	12.6%	3.5%	51.2%	48.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	31%	36%	8%	—	—	24%	50%	50%
21 May 2022	Election			36.7%	26.3%	8.9%	7.9%	5.6%	14.5%	57.6%	42.4%

Holt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35.8%	31.1%	12.4%	10.8%	5.7%	4.3%	54.4%	45.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	35%	37%	14%	—	—	14%	52%	48%
21 May 2022	Election			40.9%	29.6%	8.5%	4.8%	3%	13.2%	57.1%	42.9%

Hotham

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.4%	32.7%	15%	5.5%	6.4%	3%	56.2%	43.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	35%	14%	—	—	8%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			47%	25.2%	12.4%	2.9%	—	12.4%	64.3%	35.8%

Indi

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	IND	LIB	ALP	ONP	NAT	GRN	OTH	IND	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.4%	34.7%	12.7%	6.5%	—	7.9%	0.7%	56.2%	43.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	—	37%	8%	—	—	3%	52%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			40.7%	30.5%	8.6%	5.3%	3.8%	3.6%	7.6%	58.9%	41.1%

Isaacs

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.7%	33.1%	13.1%	7.1%	6.1%	2.9%	55.3%	44.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	38%	11%	—	—	8%	56%	44%
21 May 2022	Election			40%	31.9%	12.9%	3.2%	—	12.1%	56.9%	43.2%

Jagajaga

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.1%	32%	15.2%	8%	5.2%	3.6%	56.2%	43.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	37%	12%	—	—	10%	56%	44%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	±3.5%	40%	35%	16%	—	—	9%	59%	41%
Feb 2024 - May 2024	RedBridge Group	—	±3.3%	39%	33%	18%	—	—	10%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	2022 Federal Election			40.9%	29.2%	16.7%	3.1%	2.3%	7.9%	62.4%	37.7%

Kooyong

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2cp vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	38.7%	29.4%	16.5%	12.2%	2.7%	0.4%	52.4%	47.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	—	11%	9%	—	37%	53%	47%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	43%	—	12%	4%	—	41%	53%	47%
5 February 2024	uComms^[a]	647	±3.9%	36.8%	32.5%	12.1%	6.8%	—	2%	56%	44%
24–25 July 2023	uComms^[a]	821	±3.4%	40.3%	31.6%	12.4%	5.6%	—	2.9%	51%	49%
21 May 2022	Election			42.7%	40.3%	6.9%	6.3%	0.7%	3.1%	52.9%	47.1%

La Trobe

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.1%	26.8%	12.8%	11.1%	4.5%	2.7%	55.6%	44.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	24%	9%	—	—	25%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			45.6%	26.1%	10.9%	5%	—	12.5%	58.7%	41.3%

Lalor

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.1%	29.1%	13.8%	9.3%	6.3%	4.4%	56.9%	43.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	32%	13%	—	—	14%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			44.1%	25%	10.4%	3.9%	2.9%	13.7%	62.8%	37.2%

Macnamara

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	31.6%	29.7%	27.6%	5.8%	3.2%	2.1%	58.3%	41.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	35%	35%	21%	—	—	9%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			31.8%	29.7%	29%	2%	1.5%	6.2%	62.3%	37.8%

Mallee

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	ALP	IND	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	47.3%	15.4%	14.8%	12.8%	7.7%	2.1%	64.2%	35.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	46%	18%	—	—	6%	30%	67%	33%
21 May 2022	Election			49.1%	16.8%	12.2%	6.8%	5.3%	9.9%	69%	31%

Maribyrnong

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.6%	31.9%	16.4%	5.7%	6.2%	3.3%	56.6%	43.4%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	39%	30%	14%	—	—	18%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			42.4%	27.1%	16.3%	2.4%	—	11.9%	62.5%	37.6%

McEwen

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	31.8%	37.3%	13.4%	10.2%	4.7%	2.6%	49.7%	50.3%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	32%	40%	16%	—	—	13%	49%	51%
21 May 2022	Election			36.8%	33.2%	14.1%	5.6%	—	10.2%	53.3%	46.7%

Melbourne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	GRN	ALP	LIB	IND	ONP	OTH	GRN	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.2%	29.8%	18.8%	4%	2.7%	2.5%	55%	45%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	27%	21%	44%	—	—	7%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			49.6%	25%	15.2%	1.1%	1%	8.1%	60.2%	39.9%

Menzies

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.8%	27.5%	13.3%	4.6%	7.4%	3.3%	54.5%	45.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	31%	15%	—	—	6%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			42.1%	33.3%	14.1%	2.3%	—	8.2%	50.7%	49.3%

Monash

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.1%	22.3%	14.2%	10.9%	11.8%	1.7%	56%	44%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	26%	—	8%	—	22%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			37.8%	25.6%	10.7%	9.9%	7.5%	8.5%	52.9%	47.1%

Nicholls

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	NAT	IND	LIB	ALP	ONP	GRN	OTH	NAT	IND
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.6%	23.1%	—	14.4%	12.2%	6.4%	1.2%	55.4%	44.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	—	—	18%	—	5%	33%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			26.1%	25.5%	18.1%	11.5%	6.5%	3.2%	9%	53.8%	46.2%

Scullin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35.8%	29.7%	14.8%	9.2%	5%	5.6%	56.1%	43.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	31%	13%	—	—	11%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			46.3%	21.7%	10.9%	6.5%	—	14.6%	65.6%	34.4%

Wannon

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	LIB	IND
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.4%	25.3%	18%	8%	6.6%	0.8%	52.1%	47.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	—	24%	6%	—	21%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			44.5%	19.3%	19.1%	6.4%	3.2%	7.5%	53.9%	46.1%

Wills

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	GRN	LIB	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	GRN
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35%	30.8%	22.7%	4.1%	3.7%	3.7%	53.8%	46.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	21%	25%	—	—	12%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	Election			38.9%	28.3%	17.3%	2.8%	—	12.8%	58.6%	41.4%

Western Australia

Brand

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	39.1%	26.7%	12.6%	11.5%	6.1%	4%	58.3%	41.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	48%	30%	9%	—	—	14%	61%	39%
21 May 2022	Election			50.2%	22%	11.4%	5.4%	—	11%	66.7%	33.3%

Bullwinkel

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.2%	30.5%	12.2%	9.1%	8.1%	2.9%	50.8%	49.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	32%	8%	—	—	20%	53%	47%

Burt

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.2%	28.9%	13%	10.9%	5.5%	4.5%	56.4%	43.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	47%	32%	12%	—	—	10%	60%	40%
21 May 2022	Election			51.6%	23%	9.8%	4.9%	—	10.7%	65.2%	34.8%

Canning

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	41.6%	25.6%	9.9%	9.2%	10.7%	3.1%	55.9%	44.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	24%	7%	—	—	28%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			43.8%	32.8%	8.1%	4.5%	1.8%	9%	53.6%	46.4%

Cowan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	35.8%	32.2%	13.2%	7.9%	6.7%	4.2%	54.8%	45.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	36%	11%	—	—	11%	57%	43%
21 May 2022	Election			46.9%	30.4%	9.9%	2.9%	—	10%	60.8%	39.2%

Curtin

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	IND	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	IND	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	37.4%	29.4%	17.6%	12.4%	2.7%	0.5%	53.4%	46.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	39%	—	19%	12%	—	31%	49%	51%
10 July – 27 August 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[4]	—	—	46%	—	23%	8%	—	22%	47%	53%
21 May 2022	Election			41.3%	29.5%	14.0%	10.4%	1.3%	3.7%	51.3%	48.7%

Durack

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	NAT	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	40.8%	27.2%	—	11.8%	12.4%	4.9%	2.9%	55.2%	44.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	21%	—	6%	—	—	28%	62%	38%
21 May 2022	Election			34.3%	29.2%	10.2%	9.5%	6.9%	—	9.9%	54.3%	45.7%

Forrest

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.2%	25.3%	13%	8.9%	7%	2.7%	56.2%	43.8%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	25%	9%	—	—	22%	58%	42%
21 May 2022	Election			43.1%	27.4%	13.4%	5.3%	—	10.7%	54.3%	45.7%

Fremantle

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.4%	29.5%	17.8%	6.6%	5.8%	3.9%	57.9%	42.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	29%	18%	—	—	9%	65%	35%
21 May 2022	Election			44%	24.2%	18.1%	3.1%	—	10.6%	66.9%	33.1%

Hasluck

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	32.8%	34.3%	13.5%	8.3%	8.3%	2.9%	52.4%	47.6%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	37%	11%	—	—	11%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			39.7%	33.4%	11%	3.8%	3.4%	8.7%	56%	44%

Moore

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	44.5%	26.4%	13.1%	6.4%	6.7%	2.9%	55.8%	44.2%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	43%	31%	11%	—	—	14%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			41.8%	32.7%	14.3%	3.4%	—	7.8%	50.7%	49.3%

O'Connor

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	LIB	ALP
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	43.9%	23.3%	12.1%	11%	6.1%	3.6%	58.3%	41.7%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	42%	31%	8%	—	—	19%	54%	46%
21 May 2022	Election			44.8%	26.6%	10.6%	7.1%	—	10.9%	57%	43%

Pearce

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	32.7%	34.8%	12.7%	10.9%	5.4%	3.5%	51.1%	48.9%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	36%	34%	15%	—	—	14%	55%	45%
21 May 2022	Election			42.8%	29.9%	11%	4.5%	—	11.8%	59%	41%

Perth

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	36.5%	29.6%	21%	5.7%	4.9%	2.3%	58.9%	41.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	44%	28%	19%	—	—	9%	65%	35%
21 May 2022	Election			39.3%	26.7%	22.2%	2.7%	—	9.2%	64.8%	35.2%

Swan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	33.6%	33.7%	16.2%	7.1%	6.2%	3.2%	53.9%	46.1%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	41%	32%	14%	—	—	13%	59%	41%
21 May 2022	Election			39.1%	32.1%	14.9%	2.5%	—	11.5%	58.8%	41.2%

Tangney

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	LIB	ALP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
22 January - 12 February 2025	YouGov^[2]	8732	—	42.1%	31.4%	11.1%	5.3%	6.7%	3.4%	52.5%	47.5%
29 October - 20 Novermber 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group^[3]	4909	—	40%	38%	14%	—	—	8%	53%	47%
21 May 2022	Election			40%	38.1%	12%	2.1%	—	7.9%	52.4%	47.6%

Notes

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Sponsored by the Australia Institute

References

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au "Labor one seat short of a majority in YouGov's second MRP of the 2025 Australian election | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Retrieved 30 March 2025.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj ^ck ^cl ^cm ^cn ^co ^cp ^cq ^cr ^cs ^ct ^cu ^cv ^cw ^cx ^cy ^cz ^da ^db ^dc ^dd ^de ^df ^dg ^dh ^di ^dj ^dk ^dl ^dm ^dn ^do ^dp ^dq ^dr ^ds ^dt ^du ^dv ^dw ^dx ^dy ^dz ^ea ^eb ^ec ^ed ^ee ^ef ^eg ^eh ^ei ^ej ^ek ^el ^em ^en ^eo "Coalition best-placed to form a government, but is currently falling two seats short of a majority | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Retrieved 11 March 2025.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj ^ck ^cl ^cm ^cn ^co ^cp ^cq ^cr ^cs ^ct ^cu ^cv ^cw ^cx ^cy ^cz ^da ^db ^dc ^dd ^de ^df ^dg ^dh ^di ^dj ^dk ^dl ^dm ^dn ^do ^dp ^dq ^dr ^ds ^dt ^du ^dv ^dw ^dx ^dy ^dz ^ea ^eb ^ec ^ed ^ee ^ef ^eg ^eh ^ei ^ej ^ek ^el ^em ^en ^eo "Australia's political landscape: Spring 2024". Accent Research. Retrieved 11 March 2025.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". The Poll Bludger. Retrieved 18 December 2024.
^ "Dunkley seat poll shows Liberals lead 51-49 in upcoming by-election | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Archived from the original on 27 February 2024. Retrieved 27 February 2024.

[uComms-5] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Sponsored by the Australia Institute

[:1-1] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au "Labor one seat short of a majority in YouGov's second MRP of the 2025 Australian election | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Retrieved 30 March 2025.

[:3-2] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj ^ck ^cl ^cm ^cn ^co ^cp ^cq ^cr ^cs ^ct ^cu ^cv ^cw ^cx ^cy ^cz ^da ^db ^dc ^dd ^de ^df ^dg ^dh ^di ^dj ^dk ^dl ^dm ^dn ^do ^dp ^dq ^dr ^ds ^dt ^du ^dv ^dw ^dx ^dy ^dz ^ea ^eb ^ec ^ed ^ee ^ef ^eg ^eh ^ei ^ej ^ek ^el ^em ^en ^eo "Coalition best-placed to form a government, but is currently falling two seats short of a majority | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Retrieved 11 March 2025.

[:2-3] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj ^ck ^cl ^cm ^cn ^co ^cp ^cq ^cr ^cs ^ct ^cu ^cv ^cw ^cx ^cy ^cz ^da ^db ^dc ^dd ^de ^df ^dg ^dh ^di ^dj ^dk ^dl ^dm ^dn ^do ^dp ^dq ^dr ^ds ^dt ^du ^dv ^dw ^dx ^dy ^dz ^ea ^eb ^ec ^ed ^ee ^ef ^eg ^eh ^ei ^ej ^ek ^el ^em ^en ^eo "Australia's political landscape: Spring 2024". Accent Research. Retrieved 11 March 2025.

[:0-4] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". The Poll Bludger. Retrieved 18 December 2024.

[6] "Dunkley seat poll shows Liberals lead 51-49 in upcoming by-election | YouGov". au.yougov.com. Archived from the original on 27 February 2024. Retrieved 27 February 2024.

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