Next Thai general election

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Next Thai general election
Thailand
← 2023 By 27 June 2027

All 500 seats in the House of Representatives
251 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Move Forward Chaithawat Tulathon 148
Pheu Thai Paetongtarn Shinawatra 141
Bhumjaithai Anutin Charnvirakul 71
Palang Pracharat Prawit Wongsuwon 40
United Thai Nation Pirapan Salirathavibhaga 36
Democrat Chalermchai Sri-on 25
Chart Thai Pattana Varawut Silpa-archa 10
Prachachart Tawee Sodsong 9
Thai Sang Thai Sudarat Keyuraphan 6
Chart Pattana Kla Suwat Liptapanlop 3
Pheu Thai Ruam Palang Wasawat Puangpornsri 2
Fair Party Pitipong Temcharoen 2
Thai Liberal Sereepisuth Temeeyaves 1
New Democracy Suratin Pichan 1
New Party Kriditach Sangthanyothin 1
Thai Counties Bancha Dechchareonsirikul 1
New Social Power Chaowarit Khajohnpongkirati 1
Teachers for People Prida Bunphloeng 1
Thai Progress Watcharaphon Busamongkol 1
Incumbent Prime Minister
Srettha Thavisin
Pheu Thai

General elections are scheduled to be held in Thailand by 27 June 2027. They will determine the composition of the House of Representatives.

Background

This will be the third election under the 2017 constitution, which was implemented under the National Council for Peace and Order (the junta that took power in the 2014 Thai coup d'état), and the first after the expiration of the constitution's five-year transitory provision that gave the senate voting rights to choose the prime minister in a joint session of parliament. As such, unlike in 2023 when the junta-appointed senate (whose term also ends after five years) blocked the election's majority winner from forming government, this time the outcome of the election should determine the resulting government.[1]

Affiliation Members
Elected[2] Current[3] Change
Move Forward 151 148 Decrease 3
Pheu Thai 141 141 Steady
Bhumjaithai 71 71 Steady
Palang Pracharat Party 40 40 Steady
United Thai Nation 36 36 Steady
Democrat 25 25 Steady
Chart Thai Pattana 10 10 Steady
Prachachart 9 9 Steady
Thai Sang Thai 6 6 Steady
Chart Pattana Kla 2 3 Increase 1
Pheu Thai Ruam Palang 2 2 Steady
Fair Party 1 2 Increase 1
Thai Liberal 1 1 Steady
New Democracy 1 1 Steady
New Party 1 1 Steady
Thai Counties 1 1 Steady
PSM 1 1 Steady
Teachers for People 1 1 Steady
Thai Progress Party 0 1 Increase 1
Independent[a] 0 0 Steady
Total 500 500 Steady
Vacant N/A N/A Steady
Suspended N/A N/A Steady
Government majority 62 63 Increase 1

Electoral system

As in the 2023 election, the electoral system will follow that of the 2021 amendment of the 2017 constitution. The 500 members of the House of Representatives are elected by parallel voting. 400 seats are elected from single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting and 100 seats by proportional representation. Voters cast separate ballots for the two sets of seats.[4]

Opinion polls

Preferred party

Fieldwork date(s) Polling firm Sample MFP PTP UTN BJT Dem PPRP Undecided Others Lead
11–13 March 2024 NIDA 2,000 48.45% 22.10% 5.10% 1.70% 3.50% 2.30% 12.75% 4.10% 26.35%
9–20 December 2023 SPU 1,168 61.50% 25.50% 1.08% 1.03% 1.04% 1.95% 7.90% 26.00%
13–18 December 2023 NIDA 2,000 44.05% 24.05% 3.20% 1.75% 3.60% 1.45% 16.10% 6.00% 20.00%
22–24 August 2023 SPU 1,253 62.00% 12.87% 9.27% 4.39% 1.86% 2.00% 7.61% 49.13%
14 May 2023 2023 election 37.99% 28.84% 12.54% 2.99% 2.43% 1.41% 1.27% 9.15%

Preferred Prime Minister

Fieldwork date(s) Polling firm Sample Pita Srettha Paethongtarn Pirapan  Anutin Sudarat Prawit Undecided Others Lead
11–13 March 2024 NIDA 2,000 42.45 17.75 6.00 3.55 1.45 2.90 1.05 20.05 4.80 22.40
13–18 December 2023 NIDA 2,000 39.40 22.35 5.75 2.40 1.70 1.65 18.60 8.15 17.05

Notes

  1. ^ Under Thai law, a member of the House of Representatives must be officially affiliated with a political party. However, if for any reason their party membership is rescinded, they can be without a party for up to thirty days. During the thirty days, they must find a new party to affiliate with or their membership of parliament will end.

References

  1. ^ Sattaburuth, Aekarach (19 February 2024). "Representatives of Thai public to succeed junta-appointed senators". Bangkok Post. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
    "Thailand falls 8 places in Democracy Index". Bangkok Post. 17 February 2024. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
  2. ^ "เช็กผลคะแนนเลือกตั้ง 66 เรียลไทม์ | Thai PBS เลือกตั้ง #66 เลือกอนาคตประเทศไทย". Thai PBS (in Thai). Retrieved 11 October 2023.
  3. ^ "26th House of Representatives Map". hris.parliament.go.th. Secretariat of the House of Representatives. Retrieved 23 November 2023.
  4. ^ "Thai Parliament passes election changes favouring ruling party". The Business Times. 10 September 2021. Archived from the original on 13 September 2021. Retrieved 26 June 2020.